Cucuta

Nacional’s dominance in points, goal difference and unbeaten home record combine with Cucuta’s relegation‑zone position and modest scoring to create a clear advantage for the visitors. The head‑to‑head record (six wins for Nacional) and Nacional’s solid away form further reinforce this edge, while Cucuta’s recent home defeats lower their chance of a win. A double‑chance on Nacional or a draw captures the high likelihood of at least one point for the away side without over‑committing to a single result.

Deportivo Pereira have struggled for results all season, winning only two of their 28 league fixtures and just one of 15 away games. Cucuta have been dependable at home by comparison, avoiding defeat in 10 of their 14 matches and failing to score only once on home turf. Backing Cucuta to win or draw is well supported by Pereira's low away scoring rate of 0.7 goals per game and their nine scoreless away outings.