AVS

Moreirense hold an established record against AVS, remaining unbeaten across five previous meetings with two victories and three draws. Crucially, both past meetings hosted by AVS ended in away victories for Moreirense by 2-0 and 3-0 margins. Although AVS enter this knockout tie in solid form with three wins from five outings, Moreirense's recent losses came against high-calibre opponents such as FC Porto and Benfica. The historical matchup strongly indicates that Moreirense are well equipped to avoid defeat in normal time, while the 2.2 goals per game average across past meetings supports a measured, low-scoring outcome.

Sintrense’s recent four‑win run and high scoring rate contrast sharply with AVS’s low‑scoring, draw‑heavy form. Sintrense has both the offensive firepower and defensive stability to avoid defeat, while AVS have struggled to score consistently. The cup setting and home advantage further tilt the balance toward Sintrense, supporting a home‑or‑draw double chance. The combined goal expectations point to a total above 2.5, justifying the over bet.