BetGenius
Round
League Stage - 3
Venue
Merkur Spielarena, Dusseldorf
Referee
Mikola Balakin
Form

Recent form

Union St. Gilloise
82Excellent

Last 5 matches · 3W-2D-0L · +9 goal difference

Hapoel Beer Sheva
67Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Under 2.5 Goals (Total Goals) at 62% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

62%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Union St. Gilloise enter the Europa League tie on a decent domestic run, unbeaten in two league matches with a 3‑0 home win and a 1‑1 draw. Their home form shows they score regularly but also concede at a similar rate. Hapoel Beer Sheva have struggled in the competition, recording a loss away (1‑2) and a draw at home, with only one goal scored in two games. Their away record suggests they find it hard to break down opponents, conceding two goals on the road.

Union face a long list of injuries, including several midfielders and defenders, which could limit their options. Hapoel also have a few players sidelined, but the impact appears less severe. Both sides have limited European experience, making the tie likely to be tight and low‑scoring.

Given Union’s higher league rank and home advantage, they are expected to at least avoid defeat, while the combined goal expectations point to a match under 2.5 goals.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Union unbeaten in two league games, including a 3‑0 home win
  2. Hapoel have scored only one goal in two Europa League matches
  3. Union’s home scoring average is about one goal per game
  4. Hapoel concede an average of two goals when playing away
  5. Both teams have multiple injury absences, limiting attacking options
Availability

Team news

Union St. Gilloise

  • A. Ait El HadjOff the roster
  • I. HurteventKnock
  • O. KricfalusiKnock
  • K. Mac AllisterKnee Injury
  • I. PavlicOff the roster
  • R. SchoofsKnock
  • A. ZorganeKnock

Hapoel Beer Sheva

  • D. BitonHeart Problems
  • Lucas VenturaMuscle Injury
  • I. NachmiasInjury
  • Y. StoyanovOff the roster
  • Joao VictorInactive
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Union St. Gilloise at homeHapoel Beer Sheva away
4
Played
1
2-2-0
W-D-L
0-0-1
2.3
Scored /game
—
0.3
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%
Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
3BournemouthPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)3+79
4Ferencvarosi TCPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)3+69
5Olympiakos PiraeusPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)3+39
6Union St. GilloisePromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)3+77
7JuventusPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)3+67
8BeşiktaşPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)3+47
9SunderlandPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)3+27
27Jagiellonia3-23
28Torreense3-33
29Celje3-51
30Hapoel Beer Sheva3-51
31Lillestrom3-71
32Lech Poznan3-81
33Plzen3-50
BetGenius

Our record in UEFA Europa League

60%59 won from 98 settled predictions (1 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

Combo BetLOST
Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
62%
Confidence

Union score an average of one goal at home and concede one, while Hapoel average one goal and two conceded away. The combined expectation is around two goals, making an under‑2.5 total the more likely outcome.

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Published October 20, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.