BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 8
Venue
Papara Park, Trabzon
Referee
Cihan Aydin, Türkiye
Form

Recent form

Trabzonspor
83Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +10 goal difference

Beşiktaş
55Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Over 2.5 Goals (Total Goals) at 72% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

72%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Trabzonspor welcome Beşiktaş to Papara Park for a high-stakes Süper Lig encounter between two sides separated by just two points near the top of the table. The hosts occupy fifth spot with 13 points and enter this fixture on the back of consecutive away victories, scoring seven goals across wins over KuPS and Samsunspor. Trabzonspor have been particularly potent on home soil in domestic play, having found the net 11 times in three league matches.

Beşiktaş sit in second place with 15 points from seven outings, having registered five league wins so far. Their recent fixtures have featured relentless attacking output, including a 3-2 away victory against 1899 Hoffenheim and a 2-1 domestic victory over Kocaelispor. However, the visitors have shown vulnerability away from home in the league, conceding five goals in three games without keeping a single clean sheet on the road.

Historical meetings between these two Turkish heavyweights consistently generate goalmouth action. Across their last ten competitive encounters, the sides have combined for an average of three goals per match, with both teams finding the target in 70 percent of those contests. With both squads possessing prolific scoring records this season, an open contest is expected in Trabzon.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Trabzonspor have scored 11 goals in three home league matches this season, averaging 3.7 home goals per game.
  2. Beşiktaş have failed to keep a clean sheet away from home in the league, conceding 1.7 goals per away fixture.
  3. The last ten meetings between these two clubs have produced an average of 3.0 goals per game, with 60 percent exceeding 2.5 goals.
  4. All five of Beşiktaş's most recent matches across all competitions have produced at least three total goals.
  5. Mohamed Salah provides potent attacking threat for the hosts, contributing seven goals and three assists in seven league matches.
Availability

Team news

Trabzonspor

  • A. BatagovKnee Injury
  • O. CevikkanTendon Injury
  • P. OnuachuInjury
  • O. YokusluKnee Injury
  • M. KabasakalRed Card
  • R. MalinovskyiInactive

Team news last updated Oct 19 (5 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.

Beşiktaş

  • C. KelesOff the roster
  • M. RashicaInjury
  • O. KokcuInactive
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Trabzonspor at homeBeşiktaş away
—
Played
4
—
W-D-L
3-0-1
—
Scored /game
1.5
—
Conceded /game
0.8
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
20%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%
Players

Key players this season

Trabzonspor

  • Mohamed Salah8G · 3A

Beşiktaş

  • D. Vlahović6G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1GalatasarayPromotion - Champions League (League phase)8+619
2AmedPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)8+917
3FenerbahçePromotion - Europa League (Qualification)8+1616
4TrabzonsporPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)8+1316
5Beşiktaş8+615
6Kocaelispor9+215
7Çorum FK8+513
8Kasımpaşa8+313
History

Head-to-head

3
Trabzonspor
4
Draws
3
Beşiktaş

the last 10 meetings are split 3-3 with 4 drawn, averaging 3.0 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

  • 2026-10-19Trabzonspor2-0Beşiktaş
  • 2026-05-09Beşiktaş1-2Trabzonspor
  • 2025-12-14Trabzonspor3-3Beşiktaş
  • 2025-02-15Beşiktaş2-1Trabzonspor
  • 2024-09-15Trabzonspor1-1Beşiktaş
BetGenius

Our record in Süper Lig

63%55 won from 88 settled predictions (1 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

2 published markets

GoalsLOST
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
72%
Confidence

The data offers substantial evidence for a match featuring three or more goals rather than stopping at two. Trabzonspor have been exceptionally prolific at home, netting 11 goals in three league fixtures for an average of 3.7 goals scored per game, led by Mohamed Salah who has already recorded seven goals and three assists in league action. Beşiktaş boast an overall scoring average of 2.3 goals per game in the league, but their defensive record away from home is vulnerable, having conceded 1.7 goals per match across three away trips without a clean sheet. Furthermore, four of the last five head-to-head fixtures have produced three or more goals, including scorelines of 2-1, 3-3, 2-1, and 3-2, with the overall ten-match sample averaging 3.0 goals per game. While Beşiktaş are without D. Vlahovic and Trabzonspor miss P. Onuachu, both teams have consistently maintained high goal outputs in recent fixtures across all competitions, justifying the selection of over 2.5 goals over the lower line.

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Trabzonspor or Draw
74%
Confidence

Trabzonspor have won all three of their home league matches this season, scoring 11 goals while conceding just once. They are also unbeaten in their last five home clashes against Beşiktaş, picking up one win and four draws. Beşiktaş have lost two of their three away league fixtures and travel without their primary goal threat Dusan Vlahovic, who has six goals this season. Given the absences on both sides and a historical fixture trend featuring five draws in ten meetings, backing Trabzonspor to take at least a point offers strong probabilistic value.

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Published October 18, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.