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Sat 22 Aug · 19:45

Toulouse vs Lyon prediction

Round
Regular Season - 1
Venue
Stadium Municipal, Toulouse
Referee
Guillaume Paradis, France
Form

Recent form

Toulouse
62Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +3 goal difference

Lyon
53Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Both Teams to Score
Yes

BetGenius backs Yes (Both Teams to Score) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

68%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Toulouse host Lyon at Stadium de Toulouse in this Ligue 1 encounter. The hosts enter the contest following a mixed run of recent fixtures, including a 2-1 defeat against Hamburger SV, a 2-1 victory over Real Sociedad, and a 1-1 draw with Rodez. Toulouse notably defeated Lyon 2-1 in their last domestic clash in May 2026.

Lyon arrive after a competitive European schedule, having drawn 1-1 away at Fenerbahçe and secured a 3-0 home win against Sparta Praha across their last two outings. However, their form on the road has shown vulnerability, including a 2-1 defeat to Sparta Praha and a 4-0 loss against Real Betis earlier in the summer.

Head-to-head history heavily features goals at both ends. Across the last 10 meetings, 80% of matches produced over 2.5 total goals and 70% saw both teams score, with an overall average of 3 goals per game. While Lyon hold the historical advantage with 6 wins across the 10-match sample, Toulouse won both encounters during the 2025/26 campaign with identical 2-1 scorelines.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Head-to-head data shows a 70% both teams to score rate and 80% over 2.5 goals across the last 10 meetings.
  2. Toulouse won the previous two head-to-head encounters against Lyon, each finishing 2-1.
  3. Lyon have conceded in 3 of their last 4 away matches across all competitions.
  4. Toulouse are missing A. Vossah through suspension, while Lyon are without K. Merah due to an ankle injury.
Availability

Team news

Toulouse

  • M. NifloreInjury
  • S. OppongCalf Injury

Lyon

  • L. OpendaLeg Injury
  • M. OuedraogoKnee Injury
  • N. TagliaficoMuscle Injury
  • P. SulcKnee Injury
  • A. HamdaniInactive
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Toulouse at homeLyon away
3
Played
3
1-0-2
W-D-L
1-1-1
1
Scored /game
1
1.7
Conceded /game
0.7
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
80%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
100%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
100%

Combined scoring rate: 2 goals per game (Toulouse at home plus Lyon away).

Players

Key players this season

Toulouse

  • C. Tengstedt5G
  • C. Cásseres5A

Lyon

  • Z. Athekame3A
  • P. Šulc3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1LyonChampions League league stage7+814
2Paris Saint GermainChampions League league stage7+514
3Paris FCChampions League league stage7+514
4LilleQualifying7+514
9Lens7+310
10Marseille7+49
11Stade Brestois 298+29
12Toulouse7+19
13Auxerre7-69
14Strasbourg7-37
15Angers7-67
History

Head-to-head

2
Toulouse
2
Draws
6
Lyon

Lyon have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.7 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

  • 2026-08-22Toulouse0-2Lyon
  • 2026-05-10Toulouse2-1Lyon
  • 2025-10-05Lyon1-2Toulouse
  • 2025-01-18Lyon0-0Toulouse
  • 2024-09-29Toulouse1-2Lyon
BetGenius

Our record in Ligue 1

53%53 won from 100 settled predictions (1 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%
Confidence

Both teams have consistently generated chances in their recent matches and past meetings. In their 10-game head-to-head sample, 70% of fixtures saw both sides find the net, with an average of 3 goals per match. Toulouse scored in 4 of their last 5 matches, while Lyon have registered goals in 4 of their previous 5 fixtures.

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Published August 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.