BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 5
Venue
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
Referee
Samuel Barrott, England
Form

Recent form

Tottenham
48Average

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · -1 goal difference

Aston Villa
88Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-1D-0L · +11 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Tottenham or Draw

BetGenius backs Tottenham or Draw (Double Chance) at 70% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

70%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Tottenham host Aston Villa in Premier League round five with both sides seeking early-season momentum near the bottom of the table. Tottenham sit 17th with two points from their opening fixtures, having struggled to find consistency in front of goal. With several attacking options sidelined through injury, including Dejan Kulusevski and Mykhailo Mudryk, the hosts will lean on defensive solidity on home soil.

Aston Villa travel to north London in 19th position, carrying just one point from four league matches with a goal difference of minus six. Unai Emery's squad is also dealing with key absences, including Joao Gomes through suspension alongside midfield injuries to Leon Goretzka and Amadou Onana. Villa's recent domestic results include a 2-1 defeat against Nottingham Forest and a 4-0 loss at Brighton.

While head-to-head history between these teams has historically produced goals, both clubs enter this contest in subdued scoring form in the league. Tottenham have managed clean sheets in low-scoring draws against Everton and Nottingham Forest, while Villa have scored just once across four league games. A tightly contested fixture with limited clear openings is expected.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Aston Villa have lost three of their four Premier League matches and hold a minus six goal difference in 19th place.
  2. Tottenham have proven tough to break down in recent domestic outings, recording clean sheets against Nottingham Forest and Everton.
  3. Aston Villa enter without suspended midfielder Joao Gomes and injured contributors Leon Goretzka and Amadou Onana.
  4. Both clubs have encountered scoring issues in league play, with Tottenham scoring once in their last four league matches and Villa scoring only once across four games.
Availability

Team news

Tottenham

  • L. BergvallKnee Injury
  • M. MudrykAnkle Injury
  • W. OdobertKnee Injury
  • X. SimonsKnee Injury
  • D. UdogieKnee Injury
  • R. BentancurRed Card

Aston Villa

  • A. OnanaKnee Injury
  • M. RuggeriMuscle Injury
  • A. Wan-BissakaMuscle Injury
  • J. ManzambiCalf Injury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Tottenham at homeAston Villa away
4
Played
4
1-1-2
W-D-L
2-1-1
1.3
Scored /game
1
1.5
Conceded /game
1.5
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
80%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 2.3 goals per game (Tottenham at home plus Aston Villa away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
9Ipswich8-410
10Hull City7+19
11Newcastle7-48
12Aston Villa7-48
13Manchester United707
14Crystal Palace7-87
15Bournemouth7-46
16Tottenham7-46
17Nottingham Forest8-46
18CoventryRelegation - Championship7-86
19FulhamRelegation - Championship7-35
History

Head-to-head

3
Tottenham
0
Draws
7
Aston Villa

Aston Villa have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.4 goals a game, both teams scored in 80% of them.

  • 2026-09-19Tottenham2-3Aston Villa
  • 2026-05-03Aston Villa1-2Tottenham
  • 2026-01-10Tottenham1-2Aston Villa
  • 2025-10-19Tottenham1-2Aston Villa
  • 2025-05-16Aston Villa2-0Tottenham
BetGenius

Our record in Premier League

67%74 won from 110 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Double Chance
Tottenham or Draw
70%
Confidence

Tottenham hold home advantage against an Aston Villa side that has collected only one point from four league matches and conceded seven goals. Villa are missing several key midfield figures including the suspended Joao Gomes, while Tottenham have demonstrated resilience in recent scoreless draws against Everton and Nottingham Forest. Backing Tottenham to avoid defeat covers both the home victory and the stalemate.

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Published September 18, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.