BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 5
Venue
Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium, Sumqayit
Referee
A. Aliyev
Form

Recent form

Sumqayıt
22Very poor

Last 4 matches · 0W-1D-3L · -4 goal difference

Şamaxı FK
52Average

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · -1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Şamaxı FK or Draw

BetGenius backs Şamaxı FK or Draw (Double Chance) at 72% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

72%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Sumqayıt enter round five of the Premyer Liqa in search of their first points of the season after suffering three consecutive defeats to start the campaign. Currently sitting at the bottom of the table in 12th position, the hosts have conceded six goals across their opening three fixtures while managing to score just twice.

Şamaxı FK enter this contest in far steadier form, positioned sixth in the standings with five points accumulated entirely from away fixtures. Their four road matches have yielded a 4-1 win over Kapaz, goalless draws against Qabala and Turan, and a solitary loss against Qarabag.

Head-to-head history also leans toward the visitors, with Şamaxı FK winning five of the previous ten meetings between the two clubs, including a 1-0 away victory at Sumqayıt in their most recent encounter in March 2026.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Sumqayıt have lost all three league fixtures this season, conceding six goals in the process.
  2. Şamaxı FK are on a three-match unbeaten run away from home, conceding only one goal in that span.
  3. Şamaxı FK have kept clean sheets in two of their four league games this season.
  4. Şamaxı FK have won five of the last ten head-to-head meetings, compared to three wins for Sumqayıt.
  5. Six of the previous ten matches between these two clubs have produced fewer than 2.5 total goals.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Sumqayıt at homeŞamaxı FK away
3
Played
5
0-1-2
W-D-L
1-3-1
0.7
Scored /game
1.2
1.7
Conceded /game
1
—
Clean sheets
40%
—
Failed to score
40%
—
BTTS (last 5)
60%
—
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 1.9 goals per game (Sumqayıt at home plus Şamaxı FK away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
2Neftchi BakuPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)8+1317
3QarabagPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)7+717
4Turan8+214
5Şamaxı FK8+313
6Zira8-112
7Kapaz7-111
8Sumqayıt708
9Imisli FK8-67
10Qabala8-124
11Safa BakuPremier League (Relegation)8-113
History

Head-to-head

3
Sumqayıt
2
Draws
5
Şamaxı FK

Şamaxı FK have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.1 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-03-13Sumqayıt0-1Şamaxı FK
  • 2025-11-30Şamaxı FK1-2Sumqayıt
  • 2025-08-29Sumqayıt1-1Şamaxı FK
  • 2025-04-12Sumqayıt1-2Şamaxı FK
  • 2025-02-09Şamaxı FK1-0Sumqayıt
BetGenius

Our record in Premyer Liqa

72%28 won from 39 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Şamaxı FK or Draw
72%
Confidence

Sumqayıt have struggled at both ends of the pitch to open the campaign, scoring only 0.67 goals per game while allowing an average of two goals against in three defeats. In contrast, Şamaxı FK are unbeaten in their last three league outings, showing solid defensive structure with two clean sheets across four away matches. Backing the visitors to avoid defeat aligns well with recent form and previous head-to-head encounters.

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Published September 11, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.