Suduva Marijampole are unbeaten at home (7 wins, 5 draws) with a stingy defence conceding only 0.5 goals per home game. Panevėžys have lost 9 of their 12 away league fixtures and have already lost both league meetings against Suduva this season.
Suduva Marijampole vs Panevėžys prediction
- Round
- Regular Season - 28
- Venue
- Marijampole Football Arena, Marijampole
- Referee
- R. Valikonis
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Recent form
Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · 0 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +4 goal difference
Our verdict
BetGenius backs Suduva Marijampole to win (Match Winner) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
League leaders Suduva Marijampole host 7th-placed Panevėžys at the Marijampolės futbolo arena looking to solidify their position at the top of the A Lyga table. Suduva have enjoyed an exceptional campaign on home soil, remaining unbeaten through 12 matches with 7 wins and 5 draws while conceding just 6 goals.
In contrast, Panevėžys have struggled significantly on their travels this season, losing 9 of their 12 away fixtures and conceding 27 goals (an average of 2.3 goals against per away game). With Suduva in commanding recent form—winning recent league fixtures against Džiugas Telšiai (2-0) and Banga (3-0)—the hosts enter this clash with substantial momentum.
Recent head-to-head encounters also favour Suduva, who have claimed victories in both of the previous league clashes between the sides in 2026 (2-1 in June and 1-0 in April). Given the disparity in defensive stability and home/away records, Suduva stand as clear favourites.
Key factors
- Suduva Marijampole boast an unbeaten home record this season (7W, 5D, 0L) with only 6 goals conceded in 12 home matches.
- Panevėžys have lost 9 of their 12 away games, conceding 27 goals (2.3 per match) and failing to score in 6 of them.
- Suduva won the two previous A Lyga meetings in 2026, defeating Panevėžys 1-0 in April and 2-1 in June.
- Suduva have kept 11 clean sheets in 24 league fixtures overall, including 7 clean sheets in 12 home matches.
Statistical comparison
Combined scoring rate: 2.6 goals per game (Suduva Marijampole at home plus Panevėžys away).
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kauno Žalgiris | 29 | +37 | 54 |
| 2 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 30 | +14 | 50 |
| 3 | Suduva Marijampole | 30 | +9 | 50 |
| 4 | TransINVEST Vilnius | 29 | +8 | 46 |
| 5 | Banga | 29 | +3 | 41 |
| 6 | Džiugas Telšiai | 29 | -4 | 39 |
| 7 | Panevėžys | 29 | -13 | 35 |
| 8 | Hegelmann Litauen | 30 | -20 | 26 |
| 9 | Šiauliai | 29 | -34 | 17 |
| 10 | FK Trakai | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
- 3
- Suduva Marijampole
- 4
- Draws
- 2
- Panevėžys
Suduva Marijampole have won 3 of the last 9 meetings, averaging 1.4 goals a game, only 22% went over 2.5.
- 2026-06-29Panevėžys1-2Suduva Marijampole
- 2026-04-25Suduva Marijampole1-0Panevėžys
- 2026-02-22Panevėžys0-0Suduva Marijampole
- 2025-09-16Suduva Marijampole0-2Panevėžys
- 2025-09-12Suduva Marijampole1-1Panevėžys
Our record in A Lyga
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.1 published market
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Published August 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.

