BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 28
Venue
Marijampole Football Arena, Marijampole
Referee
R. Valikonis
Form

Recent form

Suduva Marijampole
58Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · 0 goal difference

Panevėžys
72Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +4 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Match Winner
Suduva Marijampole to win

BetGenius backs Suduva Marijampole to win (Match Winner) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

League leaders Suduva Marijampole host 7th-placed Panevėžys at the Marijampolės futbolo arena looking to solidify their position at the top of the A Lyga table. Suduva have enjoyed an exceptional campaign on home soil, remaining unbeaten through 12 matches with 7 wins and 5 draws while conceding just 6 goals.

In contrast, Panevėžys have struggled significantly on their travels this season, losing 9 of their 12 away fixtures and conceding 27 goals (an average of 2.3 goals against per away game). With Suduva in commanding recent form—winning recent league fixtures against Džiugas Telšiai (2-0) and Banga (3-0)—the hosts enter this clash with substantial momentum.

Recent head-to-head encounters also favour Suduva, who have claimed victories in both of the previous league clashes between the sides in 2026 (2-1 in June and 1-0 in April). Given the disparity in defensive stability and home/away records, Suduva stand as clear favourites.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Suduva Marijampole boast an unbeaten home record this season (7W, 5D, 0L) with only 6 goals conceded in 12 home matches.
  2. Panevėžys have lost 9 of their 12 away games, conceding 27 goals (2.3 per match) and failing to score in 6 of them.
  3. Suduva won the two previous A Lyga meetings in 2026, defeating Panevėžys 1-0 in April and 2-1 in June.
  4. Suduva have kept 11 clean sheets in 24 league fixtures overall, including 7 clean sheets in 12 home matches.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Suduva Marijampole at homePanevėžys away
14
Played
15
8-6-0
W-D-L
5-0-10
1.6
Scored /game
1
0.4
Conceded /game
2
64%
Clean sheets
20%
36%
Failed to score
47%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
20%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 2.6 goals per game (Suduva Marijampole at home plus Panevėžys away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1Kauno Žalgiris29+3754
2FK Zalgiris Vilnius30+1450
3Suduva Marijampole30+950
4TransINVEST Vilnius29+846
5Banga29+341
6Džiugas Telšiai29-439
7Panevėžys29-1335
8Hegelmann Litauen30-2026
9Šiauliai29-3417
10FK Trakai000
History

Head-to-head

3
Suduva Marijampole
4
Draws
2
Panevėžys

Suduva Marijampole have won 3 of the last 9 meetings, averaging 1.4 goals a game, only 22% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-06-29Panevėžys1-2Suduva Marijampole
  • 2026-04-25Suduva Marijampole1-0Panevėžys
  • 2026-02-22Panevėžys0-0Suduva Marijampole
  • 2025-09-16Suduva Marijampole0-2Panevėžys
  • 2025-09-12Suduva Marijampole1-1Panevėžys
BetGenius

Our record in A Lyga

56%18 won from 32 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Match Winner
Suduva Marijampole to win
76%
Confidence

Suduva Marijampole are unbeaten at home (7 wins, 5 draws) with a stingy defence conceding only 0.5 goals per home game. Panevėžys have lost 9 of their 12 away league fixtures and have already lost both league meetings against Suduva this season.

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Published August 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.