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Sun 30 Aug · 15:00

ST Mirren vs Motherwell prediction

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Round: Regular Season - 4
Venue: The SMISA Stadium, Paisley
Referee: Kevin Clancy, Scotland

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

ST Mirren

4Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-0D-5L · -12 goal difference

Motherwell

7Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-0D-5L · -9 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance

ST Mirren or Draw

BetGenius backs ST Mirren or Draw (Double Chance) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

68%

Confidence

Solid

Preview

Match preview

ST Mirren welcome Motherwell to Paisley in a top-four Premiership encounter early in the campaign. The hosts sit third in the table with a perfect start to their league season, having collected six points from two matches with three goals scored and zero conceded. Key forward K. Phillips has provided the cutting edge with three goals, spearheading an efficient 4-2-3-1 setup.

Motherwell travel sitting just two points behind in fourth place, recording a win and a draw across their opening two Premiership fixtures. While their broader schedule has featured demanding European ties against the likes of SC Freiburg and HJK Helsinki, their domestic base remains resilient with only one goal conceded in league action.

Head-to-head history heavily favours the visitors, with Motherwell claiming four victories and four draws across the last ten meetings, including an emphatic 5-0 win in Paisley in February 2026. However, ST Mirren's flawless defensive start suggests this meeting should be considerably more competitive and tightly contested.

Analysis

Key factors

ST Mirren have opened the Premiership season with consecutive victories and two clean sheets, conceding zero goals in two matches.
Motherwell are unbeaten in league play with four points from two matches, allowing just one goal.
In the previous 10 head-to-head encounters across all competitions, 60% finished with under 2.5 total goals, averaging 2.3 goals per match.
ST Mirren striker K. Phillips has scored 3 league goals in the early stage of the campaign.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

ST Mirren at homeMotherwell away

Played

1-1-2

W-D-L

1-1-3

1.3

Scored /game

1.6

Conceded /game

—

Clean sheets

—

Failed to score

20%

40%

BTTS (last 5)

40%

80%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

60%

Combined scoring rate: 2.9 goals per game (ST Mirren at home plus Motherwell away).

Players

Key players this season

Motherwell

A. Lowry3G
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise2A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
5	ST JohnstonePromotion - Premiership (Championship Group)	9	0	12
6	Dundee UtdPromotion - Premiership (Championship Group)	9	-1	12
7	AberdeenPremiership (Relegation Group)	9	0	11
8	ST MirrenPremiership (Relegation Group)	9	-8	10
9	FalkirkPremiership (Relegation Group)	9	-3	9
10	MotherwellPremiership (Relegation Group)	9	-5	8
11	KilmarnockPremiership (Relegation Group)	9	-10	8
12	HibernianPremiership (Relegation Group)	9	-5	7

History

Head-to-head

Full record →

1
ST Mirren: 5
Draws: 4
Motherwell

Motherwell have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.8 goals a game.

2026-08-30ST Mirren3-3Motherwell
2026-02-21ST Mirren0-5Motherwell
2026-01-03Motherwell2-0ST Mirren
2025-11-01Motherwell1-4ST Mirren
2025-08-09ST Mirren0-0Motherwell

BetGenius

Our record in Premiership

58%39 won from 67 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON

Double Chance

ST Mirren or Draw

68%

Confidence

ST Mirren enter the fixture with positive momentum in the Premiership, winning both of their opening two league games without conceding a goal. Motherwell bring a historically formidable record in this matchup, having won or drawn eight of the previous ten meetings, which makes a straight home win risky. Backing ST Mirren on the double chance accounts for their strong early-season form while retaining coverage for a shared outcome in a fixture where 40% of the last ten meetings ended in draws.

Explore

ST Mirren vs Motherwell prediction

Recent form

Our verdict

Match preview

Key factors

Statistical comparison

Key players this season

Motherwell

Table context

Head-to-head

Our record in Premiership

1 published market

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