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Wed 21 Oct · 11:00

Shonan Bellmare vs Iwaki prediction

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Round: Regular Season - 12
Venue: Lemon Gas Stadium, Hiratsuka

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Shonan Bellmare

45Average

Last 5 matches · 1W-3D-1L · -3 goal difference

Iwaki

52Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance

Shonan Bellmare or Draw

BetGenius backs Shonan Bellmare or Draw (Double Chance) at 70% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

70%

Confidence

Solid

Preview

Match preview

Shonan Bellmare host Iwaki in a J2 League clash that could shape the promotion play‑offs race. Both clubs sit in the upper half of the table, with Shonan in sixth place on 18 points and Iwaki eighth on 15 points after 11 games. The match offers Shonan a chance to consolidate their push for the play‑offs, while Iwaki will look to close the gap.

Shonan have struggled to find the net, averaging just 1.1 goals per game, but their defence has been solid, conceding only 0.9 per match and keeping four clean sheets so far. Their recent five games have yielded one win, two draws and two defeats, indicating inconsistency but an ability to grind out points at home. Iwaki, by contrast, score more freely with a 1.6 goals‑per‑game average but have leaked 1.5 per game and have yet to keep a clean sheet away from home.

The only head‑to‑head meeting this season saw Iwaki win 2‑1 at Shonan, but that single data point is outweighed by the broader season trends. Considering Shonan’s home defensive strength and Iwaki’s poor away record, a home win or draw appears the most likely outcome, while the total goals are expected to stay under 2.5.

Analysis

Key factors

Shonan’s strong defensive record (0.9 GA per game)
Iwaki’s poor away form (1‑0‑4, 2.2 GA away)
Shonan’s home points advantage in the promotion play‑offs zone
Both teams’ low scoring averages suggest under 2.5 goals
Head‑to‑head single meeting favors Iwaki but sample size is limited

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Shonan Bellmare at homeIwaki away

Played

1-2-1

W-D-L

1-0-4

Scored /game

1.2

1.3

Conceded /game

2.2

—

Clean sheets

—

Failed to score

20%

80%

BTTS (last 5)

20%

40%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

60%

Combined scoring rate: 2.2 goals per game (Shonan Bellmare at home plus Iwaki away).

Table

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
3	Kataller ToyamaPromotion Play-offs	12	+12	22
4	Yokohama FCPromotion Play-offs	12	+9	21
5	Omiya ArdijaPromotion Play-offs	12	+7	20
6	Shonan BellmarePromotion Play-offs	12	+2	19
7	Oita Trinita	12	+7	18
8	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	12	+1	17
9	Iwaki	12	+1	16
10	Fujieda MYFC	12	+2	15
11	Jubilo Iwata	12	-1	15
12	Sagan Tosu	12	-3	14

History

Head-to-head

Full record →

0
Shonan Bellmare: 0
Draws: 1
Iwaki

Iwaki have won 1 of the last 1 meeting.

2026-05-30Shonan Bellmare1-2Iwaki

Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON

Double Chance

Shonan Bellmare or Draw

70%

Confidence

Shonan have a tighter defence (0.9 goals conceded per game) and three away clean sheets, whereas Iwaki have failed to keep any clean sheet on the road and concede 2.2 away goals on average. Shonan’s home form, though mixed, includes two recent draws, suggesting they can avoid defeat. Iwaki’s away record (1‑0‑4) and higher goals‑against average make a loss plausible. The single head‑to‑head win for Iwaki is an outlier in a one‑match sample. Combined with both sides’ modest scoring rates, the match is likely to produce fewer than three goals.

Explore

Shonan Bellmare vs Iwaki prediction

Recent form

Our verdict

Match preview

Key factors

Statistical comparison

Table context

Head-to-head

1 published market

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