BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 4
Venue
Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki
Referee
Andrea Colombo, Italy
Form

Recent form

PAOK
71Strong

Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +4 goal difference

Aris Thessalonikis
72Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
Under 2.5 Goals + PAOK or Draw

BetGenius backs Under 2.5 Goals + PAOK or Draw (Combo Bet) at 64% confidence — a solid call.

64%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

PAOK host fierce city rivals Aris Thessalonikis in the Super League 1, with both sides level on six points after their opening three league fixtures. PAOK enter the derby seeking to bounce back from a 3-1 away defeat against Panathinaikos, having previously opened their home campaign with a commanding 4-0 win over Levadiakos.

Aris Thessalonikis have had an erratic start to the campaign, picking up two victories alongside a heavy 5-0 away loss at AEK Athens. Their defensive numbers on the road remain a concern, having conceded seven goals across two away fixtures, while failing to record a clean sheet in any league match this season.

Recent head-to-head encounters between these Thessaloniki rivals have been closely contested and generally low scoring, with four draws in the last ten meetings and an average of 1.9 goals per game. PAOK have the edge in stability at home, but derby dynamics often temper high goal outputs.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

PAOK at homeAris Thessalonikis away
4
Played
4
3-0-1
W-D-L
2-0-2
2.3
Scored /game
1.3
1
Conceded /game
2.5
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
60%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 3.6 goals per game (PAOK at home plus Aris Thessalonikis away).

Players

Key players this season

PAOK

  • D. Pelkas3G
  • A. Živković4A

Aris Thessalonikis

  • Fabiano3G
  • B. Garré2A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1PanathinaikosPromotion - Super League (Championship Group)7+1318
2Olympiakos PiraeusPromotion - Super League (Championship Group)7+516
3PAOKPromotion - Super League (Championship Group)7+615
4AEK Athens FCPromotion - Super League (Championship Group)6+1314
5Aris ThessalonikisPromotion - Super League (Conference League Group)7-313
6KalamataPromotion - Super League (Conference League Group)7+110
7OFIPromotion - Super League (Conference League Group)7010
8Iraklis 1908Promotion - Super League (Conference League Group)7-19
History

Head-to-head

3
PAOK
4
Draws
3
Aris Thessalonikis

the last 10 meetings are split 3-3 with 4 drawn, averaging 1.9 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-02-08Aris Thessalonikis0-0PAOK
  • 2025-12-07PAOK3-1Aris Thessalonikis
  • 2025-12-03Aris Thessalonikis1-1PAOK
  • 2025-01-19Aris Thessalonikis0-0PAOK
  • 2024-09-29PAOK0-1Aris Thessalonikis
BetGenius

Our record in Super League 1

76%58 won from 76 settled predictions (2 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

FeaturedWON
Combo Bet
Under 2.5 Goals + PAOK or Draw
64%
Both must land · no better than

Under 2.5 Goals — 64% confidence

The historical head-to-head trend shows six of the last ten meetings finishing with two or fewer goals, generating an average of just 1.9 goals per game. Three of the last four clashes have ended in draws with scorelines of 0-0, 1-1, and 0-0, highlighting the cautious approach both teams typically adopt in this rivalry.

PAOK or Draw — 76% confidence

PAOK demonstrated strong form in their sole home league match with a 4-0 victory and have proven difficult to break down on their own ground. Aris have shown defensive vulnerability on the road, conceding seven goals across two away fixtures and allowing five against AEK Athens. While derby matches often produce tight margins, PAOK possess the structural balance to secure at least a point.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetWON
Double Chance
PAOK or Draw
76%
Confidence

PAOK demonstrated strong form in their sole home league match with a 4-0 victory and have proven difficult to break down on their own ground. Aris have shown defensive vulnerability on the road, conceding seven goals across two away fixtures and allowing five against AEK Athens. While derby matches often produce tight margins, PAOK possess the structural balance to secure at least a point.

Combo BetWON
Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
64%
Confidence

The historical head-to-head trend shows six of the last ten meetings finishing with two or fewer goals, generating an average of just 1.9 goals per game. Three of the last four clashes have ended in draws with scorelines of 0-0, 1-1, and 0-0, highlighting the cautious approach both teams typically adopt in this rivalry.

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Published September 12, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.