BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 24
Venue
Nubank Parque, Sao Paulo
Referee
Braulio Da Silva Machado, Brazil
Form

Recent form

Palmeiras
70Strong

Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +6 goal difference

Vasco DA Gama
40Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Match Winner
Palmeiras to win

BetGenius backs Palmeiras to win (Match Winner) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

League leaders Palmeiras host 19th-placed Vasco DA Gama at home in Serie A action. Palmeiras currently sit at the top of the table with 48 points from 23 matches (14 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses), boasting a solid home record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and only 1 defeat with a +9 goal difference on their own ground.

In contrast, Vasco DA Gama are mired in the relegation zone in 19th position with 22 points. Their away form has been particularly troubling throughout the league campaign, having failed to record a single away victory (0 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats in 10 road fixtures) while conceding 17 goals.

Palmeiras also possess a clear upper hand in historical head-to-head encounters, having won 7 of the last 10 meetings between the sides, including 3 wins and a draw in their 4 home matches against Vasco across this sample.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Vasco DA Gama have not won a single away league fixture this season (0 wins, 5 draws, 5 losses).
  2. Palmeiras hold 1st place in the standings with 48 points, conceding only 8 goals across 11 home matches.
  3. Palmeiras have won 7 of the last 10 head-to-head fixtures against Vasco DA Gama.
  4. Palmeiras' Andreas Pereira leads the side's playmaking with 9 assists this campaign.
  5. Vasco DA Gama enter the match in the relegation zone (19th place) with a -11 goal difference.
Availability

Team news

Palmeiras

  • JefteKnee Injury
  • Andreas PereiraRed Card
  • J. PiquerezYellow Cards
  • Vitor RoqueInactive

Vasco DA Gama

  • Mateus CarvalhoKnee Injury
  • Cauan BarrosInactive
  • C. CuestaInactive
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Palmeiras at homeVasco DA Gama away
15
Played
15
11-3-1
W-D-L
2-5-8
1.9
Scored /game
1
0.7
Conceded /game
1.7
40%
Clean sheets
7%
7%
Failed to score
33%
40%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 2.9 goals per game (Palmeiras at home plus Vasco DA Gama away).

Players

Key players this season

Palmeiras

  • Andreas PereiraSuspended10A
  • J. López5A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1FlamengoPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+3667
2PalmeirasPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+3266
3Atletico ParanaensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+1253
4CruzeiroPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+451
5FluminensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)31+1051
12Coritiba31-1139
13Vitoria31-1137
14Mirassol31-836
15Vasco DA Gama30-735
16Corinthians31-733
17InternacionalRelegation - Serie B31-732
18GremioRelegation - Serie B31-1031
History

Head-to-head

7
Palmeiras
2
Draws
1
Vasco DA Gama

Palmeiras have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.3 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-08-23Palmeiras4-1Vasco DA Gama
  • 2026-03-12Vasco DA Gama2-1Palmeiras
  • 2025-10-01Palmeiras3-0Vasco DA Gama
  • 2025-05-04Vasco DA Gama0-1Palmeiras
  • 2024-09-22Vasco DA Gama0-1Palmeiras
BetGenius

Our record in Serie A

62%95 won from 153 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Match Winner
Palmeiras to win
76%
Confidence

Palmeiras enter the match in 1st place with strong home stability (7-3-1), while Vasco DA Gama sit 19th and remain winless away from home in the league (0-5-5). With Palmeiras conceding an average of only 0.7 goals per home match and winning 7 of the last 10 head-to-head clashes, the hosts are strongly positioned to claim all three points.

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Published August 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.