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Sun 27 Sept · 16:00

Nasarawa United vs Niger Tornadoes prediction

Follow Nasarawa United Follow Niger Tornadoes Follow this match

Round: Regular Season - 6
Venue: Lafia Township Stadium, Lafia

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Nasarawa United

75Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +4 goal difference

Niger Tornadoes

63Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance

Nasarawa United or Draw

BetGenius backs Nasarawa United or Draw (Double Chance) at 77% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

77%

Confidence

Strong

Preview

Match preview

Nasarawa United host Niger Tornadoes at the Lafia City Stadium in NPFL action, with both sides seeking to climb away from the lower reaches of the table. Nasarawa United sit 16th with four points and enter this fixture unbeaten on home turf this season, having recorded one win and one draw in their two home outings while conceding just a single goal.

Niger Tornadoes are currently 13th with five points but have found life difficult on their travels. The Minna-based club has suffered defeats in both of their away matches this campaign, conceding four goals across trips to Katsina United and Kano Pillars without managing to pick up a point on the road.

Historical trends in this fixture heavily favor the home side. Nasarawa United have won all four previous home meetings against Niger Tornadoes in the recorded head-to-head data, while the overall matchup has typically been low scoring with an average of 1.33 goals per game across nine meetings.

Analysis

Key factors

Nasarawa United are unbeaten at home this season with one win and one draw from two matches.
Niger Tornadoes have lost both of their away games in the league so far, conceding four goals.
Nasarawa United have won all four head-to-head meetings played at home against Niger Tornadoes.
Only 11.1 percent of the nine historical head-to-head clashes between these clubs have produced over 2.5 goals.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Nasarawa United at homeNiger Tornadoes away

Played

3-1-0

W-D-L

0-1-3

1.3

Scored /game

0.5

0.3

Conceded /game

1.3

—

Clean sheets

—

Failed to score

—

20%

BTTS (last 5)

20%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

20%

Combined scoring rate: 1.8 goals per game (Nasarawa United at home plus Niger Tornadoes away).

Table

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
3	Sporting LagosPromotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)	9	+2	15
4	Plateau UnitedPromotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)	9	+4	14
5	Barau FC	9	+3	14
6	Nasarawa United	9	+2	14
7	Kano Pillars	9	+1	14
8	Doma United	9	0	14
9	Ikorodu City	9	+2	12
10	Bendel Insurance	8	+1	12
11	Niger Tornadoes	9	0	12
12	Katsina United	9	-2	12
13	Kwara United	9	0	11
14	Warri Wolves	9	-1	11

History

Head-to-head

Full record →

4
Nasarawa United: 1
Draws: 4
Niger Tornadoes

the last 9 meetings are split 4-4 with 1 drawn, averaging 1.3 goals a game, only 11% went over 2.5.

2026-01-18Nasarawa United2-1Niger Tornadoes
2025-08-27Niger Tornadoes1-0Nasarawa United
2025-02-02Nasarawa United2-0Niger Tornadoes
2024-09-15Niger Tornadoes0-0Nasarawa United
2022-06-18Niger Tornadoes1-0Nasarawa United

BetGenius

Our record in NPFL

76%101 won from 133 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON

Double Chance

Nasarawa United or Draw

77%

Confidence

Nasarawa United remain undefeated at home this season with a win against Bendel Insurance and a draw with Rivers United, allowing an average of only 0.5 goals per game on their own ground. In contrast, Niger Tornadoes have lost both of their away fixtures in the current campaign, conceding two goals per game. Nasarawa United have also won all four head-to-head encounters hosted at their venue in the available records, making the home side well positioned to take at least a point.

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