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Tue 15 Sept · 19:45
Motherwell vs Aberdeen prediction
- Round
- Regular Season - 3
- Venue
- Fir Park, Motherwell
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Form
Recent form
Motherwell
7Very poor
Last 5 matches · 0W-0D-5L · -9 goal difference
Aberdeen
69Strong
Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +8 goal difference
Our call
Our verdict
Both Teams to Score
No
BetGenius backs No (Both Teams to Score) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.
68%
Confidence
Solid
Preview
Match preview
Motherwell welcome Aberdeen to Fir Park sitting fifth in the Scottish Premiership with eight points from their opening five league matches. The hosts have demonstrated solid defensive foundations on their own patch, having yet to concede a league goal at home after recording a 3-0 win over Dundee United and a goalless draw in their two home fixtures.
Aberdeen arrive in tenth place with just four points from five fixtures, struggling for cutting edge in the attacking third. The visitors have scored only two league goals in total and have failed to find the net in both of their away league outings, which ended in defeats and five goals conceded.
Recent meetings at Fir Park have heavily favoured Motherwell, who have won the last three Premiership clashes at this venue by identical 2-0 scorelines. With the visitors lacking scoring form and the hosts proving difficult to breach at home, Motherwell enter the contest with the upper hand.
Analysis
Key factors
- Motherwell have kept clean sheets in both of their home league matches this season.
- Aberdeen have failed to score in four of their five league games, including both away fixtures.
- Eight of the last ten meetings between these teams produced under 2.5 goals.
- Motherwell have won the last three Premiership head-to-head encounters at Fir Park by a 2-0 scoreline.
Numbers
Statistical comparison
Motherwell at homeAberdeen away
4
Played
4
1-1-2
W-D-L
1-1-2
0.8
Scored /game
1.3
1.5
Conceded /game
1.5
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%
Combined scoring rate: 2.1 goals per game (Motherwell at home plus Aberdeen away).
Players
Key players this season
Motherwell
- A. Lowry3G
- Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise2A
Aberdeen
- K. Nisbet4G · 2A
League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.
Table
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | DundeePromotion - Premiership (Championship Group) | 9 | +3 | 14 |
| 5 | ST JohnstonePromotion - Premiership (Championship Group) | 9 | 0 | 12 |
| 6 | Dundee UtdPromotion - Premiership (Championship Group) | 9 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | AberdeenPremiership (Relegation Group) | 9 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | ST MirrenPremiership (Relegation Group) | 9 | -8 | 10 |
| 9 | FalkirkPremiership (Relegation Group) | 9 | -3 | 9 |
| 10 | MotherwellPremiership (Relegation Group) | 9 | -5 | 8 |
| 11 | KilmarnockPremiership (Relegation Group) | 9 | -10 | 8 |
| 12 | HibernianPremiership (Relegation Group) | 9 | -5 | 7 |
History
Head-to-head
- 4
- Motherwell
- 1
- Draws
- 5
- Aberdeen
Aberdeen have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.4 goals a game, only 30% went over 2.5.
- 2026-09-15Motherwell0-4Aberdeen
- 2026-02-18Aberdeen2-0Motherwell
- 2026-02-15Motherwell2-0Aberdeen
- 2025-11-09Aberdeen1-1Motherwell
- 2025-09-27Motherwell2-0Aberdeen
BetGenius
Our record in Premiership
58%39 won from 67 settled predictions
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.Predictions
4 published markets
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Combo BetWON
Both Teams to Score
No
68%
Confidence
Both teams to score has failed to land in 70 percent of the last ten meetings between the two sides. Aberdeen have failed to score in four of their five league matches this season, while Motherwell have kept clean sheets in both of their home fixtures.
Combo BetLOST
Draw No Bet
Motherwell (draw no bet)
71%
Confidence
Motherwell are unbeaten at home in the league with a win and a draw, whereas Aberdeen have suffered defeats in both of their away trips without scoring a goal. Motherwell have also won each of the last three league head-to-head fixtures played at Fir Park, giving them a strong platform while protecting against a potential draw.
Combo BetLOST
Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
74%
Confidence
Under 2.5 goals has landed in 80 percent of the last ten head-to-head encounters between these clubs, producing an average of 2.1 goals per match. Motherwell have conceded zero goals at home in the league this season, while Aberdeen have scored only twice across their five league fixtures and are yet to score on the road.
Explore
More from BetGenius
Understand these picks
- Both teams to score: BTTS predictions · How BTTS settles · BTTS record
- Total goals: Goals predictions · How goals markets settle · Total goals record
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Published September 14, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.