BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 19
Venue
Vitebsk CSK, Vitebsk
Referee
D. Dmitriev
Form

Recent form

ML Vitebsk
57Average

Last 5 matches · 1W-4D-0L · +2 goal difference

Bate Borisov
41Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Match Winner
ML Vitebsk to win

BetGenius backs ML Vitebsk to win (Match Winner) at 72% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

72%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

ML Vitebsk host Bate Borisov in the Belarusian Premier League, presenting a stark clash between title contenders and relegation battlers. ML Vitebsk sit in second place with 34 points from 15 games, boasting the league's top goal difference (+19) and suffering just a single defeat all season. Having conceded only 5 goals across 7 home matches, they have demonstrated strong defensive stability in front of their home supporters.

Bate Borisov find themselves in unfamiliar territory down in 14th place with 13 points from 16 matches. Their struggles on the road have been pronounced, having failed to secure a single away victory this campaign (0 wins, 5 draws, 3 losses) while managing just 4 goals scored in 8 away fixtures. Furthermore, they have failed to score in 5 of those 8 away outings.

Recent head-to-head history also strongly favours the hosts. ML Vitebsk have won three of the four recorded meetings, including a 2-1 away victory earlier this season in April 2026 and a 2-0 win in January 2026. Given the significant gap in form and offensive output, ML Vitebsk enter this contest as clear favourites.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. ML Vitebsk sit 2nd in the table with 34 points (10W-4D-1L), compared to 14th-placed Bate Borisov with 13 points (2W-7D-7L).
  2. Bate Borisov are winless in 8 away matches this league season, scoring just 4 goals and failing to score in 5 fixtures.
  3. ML Vitebsk hold a strong head-to-head edge, winning 3 of the last 4 encounters including the most recent league fixture 2-1.
  4. ML Vitebsk boast a sturdy home defensive record, conceding only 5 goals in 7 home games (0.7 per game).
Numbers

Statistical comparison

ML Vitebsk at homeBate Borisov away
10
Played
11
3-6-1
W-D-L
0-6-5
1.2
Scored /game
0.4
0.6
Conceded /game
1.1
50%
Clean sheets
27%
40%
Failed to score
73%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
20%
20%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
20%

Combined scoring rate: 1.6 goals per game (ML Vitebsk at home plus Bate Borisov away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1ML VitebskPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)24+3253
2Dinamo MinskPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)24+2652
3FC Isloch Minsk R.Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)24+2149
4Dinamo Brest25+1644
10Slavia Mozyr25-428
11Baranovichi26-1628
12Arsenal25-2023
13Bate Borisov25-1321
14BelshinaVysshaya Liga (Relegation)24-1921
15FC Dnepr MogilevRelegation - Pershaya Liga25-1619
16NaftanRelegation - Pershaya Liga25-3217
History

Head-to-head

3
ML Vitebsk
0
Draws
1
Bate Borisov

ML Vitebsk have won 3 of the last 4 meetings, averaging 2.3 goals a game.

  • 2026-04-19Bate Borisov1-2ML Vitebsk
  • 2026-01-17ML Vitebsk2-0Bate Borisov
  • 2025-10-03Bate Borisov1-0ML Vitebsk
  • 2025-05-18ML Vitebsk2-1Bate Borisov
BetGenius

Our record in Premier League

55%33 won from 60 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Match Winner
ML Vitebsk to win
72%
Confidence

ML Vitebsk have lost just once in 15 league fixtures and average only 0.7 goals conceded per home game. In contrast, Bate Borisov are winless away from home (0-5-3) and average a meager 0.5 goals scored per away game, having failed to score in 5 of 8 road matches.

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Published August 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.