BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 23
Venue
Tikhinichi Sportcomplex, Gomel
Form

Recent form

ML Vitebsk
57Average

Last 5 matches · 1W-4D-0L · +2 goal difference

Arsenal
29Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-2D-3L · -6 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
ML Vitebsk (draw no bet) + Over 1.5 Goals

BetGenius backs ML Vitebsk (draw no bet) + Over 1.5 Goals (Combo Bet) at 74% confidence — a solid call.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

ML Vitebsk welcome Arsenal in round 23 of the Premier League campaign, with both sides operating at opposite ends of the table. The hosts occupy second position on 41 points and have suffered only one league defeat all season, demonstrating remarkable structural resilience across their 19 matches.

Arsenal sit in 12th place on 23 points and arrive in difficult form, having gone winless in their last five league outings with three losses and two draws. Their defence has conceded 36 goals in 22 matches, presenting a significant vulnerability against a disciplined host side.

Head-to-head history heavily favours ML Vitebsk, who have won five of the past eight meetings between the two teams, including a 3-0 away victory in their most recent encounter in May 2026. While ML Vitebsk have recorded six draws at home this season, their overall consistency makes them difficult to break down.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

ML Vitebsk at homeArsenal away
10
Played
11
3-6-1
W-D-L
3-5-3
1.2
Scored /game
1.1
0.6
Conceded /game
1.5
50%
Clean sheets
18%
40%
Failed to score
27%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
20%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 2.3 goals per game (ML Vitebsk at home plus Arsenal away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1ML VitebskPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)24+3253
2Dinamo MinskPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)24+2652
3FC Isloch Minsk R.Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)24+2149
4Dinamo Brest25+1644
9Torpedo Zhodino25-133
10Slavia Mozyr25-428
11Baranovichi26-1628
12Arsenal25-2023
13Bate Borisov25-1321
14BelshinaVysshaya Liga (Relegation)24-1921
15FC Dnepr MogilevRelegation - Pershaya Liga25-1619
History

Head-to-head

5
ML Vitebsk
2
Draws
1
Arsenal

ML Vitebsk have won 5 of the last 8 meetings, averaging 4.0 goals a game, both teams scored in 75% of them.

  • 2026-05-17Arsenal0-3ML Vitebsk
  • 2025-08-10Arsenal0-4ML Vitebsk
  • 2025-03-29ML Vitebsk2-2Arsenal
  • 2025-02-12Arsenal1-2ML Vitebsk
  • 2023-11-11Arsenal1-4ML Vitebsk
BetGenius

Our record in Premier League

55%33 won from 60 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

FeaturedWON
Combo Bet
ML Vitebsk (draw no bet) + Over 1.5 Goals
74%
Both must land · no better than

ML Vitebsk (draw no bet) — 76% confidence

ML Vitebsk have lost just one match in 19 league fixtures this season, establishing the division's second-best defensive record with only 15 goals conceded. Arsenal have struggled for positive results, winning only five of 22 games and failing to win any of their previous five fixtures. Given that ML Vitebsk have drawn six of ten home matches, removing the draw outcome provides solid protection while backing the superior side across form and standings.

Over 1.5 Goals — 74% confidence

Every single one of the eight previous head-to-head encounters between ML Vitebsk and Arsenal has produced at least two goals, with an average of 4.0 goals per match across that sample. Arsenal have conceded 17 goals in 11 away matches, while ML Vitebsk average 1.9 goals scored per game overall in league play.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (draw no bet and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetWON
Total Goals
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
Confidence

Every single one of the eight previous head-to-head encounters between ML Vitebsk and Arsenal has produced at least two goals, with an average of 4.0 goals per match across that sample. Arsenal have conceded 17 goals in 11 away matches, while ML Vitebsk average 1.9 goals scored per game overall in league play.

Combo BetWON
Draw No Bet
ML Vitebsk (draw no bet)
76%
Confidence

ML Vitebsk have lost just one match in 19 league fixtures this season, establishing the division's second-best defensive record with only 15 goals conceded. Arsenal have struggled for positive results, winning only five of 22 games and failing to win any of their previous five fixtures. Given that ML Vitebsk have drawn six of ten home matches, removing the draw outcome provides solid protection while backing the superior side across form and standings.

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Published September 16, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.