Marseille bounced back from a four-match losing sequence with a clean-sheet 2-0 victory against Estac Troyes. While their 4-1 defeat at Besiktas highlighted defensive vulnerabilities, home turf provides a steadier platform against an Olympiakos squad dealing with multiple key absences. The visitors must cope without forward A. El Kaabi due to a broken leg alongside Y. Yazici with a knee injury. Although Olympiakos enter on the back of three straight wins across all competitions, including 1-0 domestic results against Levadiakos and Panathinaikos, breaking down Marseille without their primary attacking focal point is a difficult task. Across four historical head-to-head fixtures, Marseille won the last clash 2-1, and backing the hosts to win or draw covers the most likely outcomes.
Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus prediction
- Round
- League Stage - 2
- Venue
- Orange Vélodrome, Marseille
- Referee
- Michael Oliver
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Recent form
Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · +2 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 5W-0D-0L · +6 goal difference
Our verdict
BetGenius backs Marseille or Draw (Double Chance) at 70% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
Marseille welcome Olympiakos Piraeus for round 2 of the UEFA Europa League league stage looking to build momentum after securing a 2-0 away victory against Estac Troyes. That domestic triumph brought relief following a difficult stretch that included a 4-1 defeat away to Besiktas and home losses against Paris Saint-Germain and Paris FC. Returning home offers the French club an opportunity to steady their European campaign.
Olympiakos arrive in solid form across all competitions, having claimed three consecutive victories against Jagiellonia, Levadiakos, and Panathinaikos. However, the Greek side faces significant selection hurdles heading into this fixture. Striker A. El Kaabi is sidelined with a broken leg and Y. Yazici remains out with a knee injury, while several other squad members including Clayton, M. Mouandilmadji, and B. Popovic are listed as unavailable.
With Marseille also missing midfielder P. Hojbjerg to a muscle injury and D. Cornelius to a hip problem, both squads must adjust their setups. The previous encounters between these two clubs have historically been tight, low-scoring affairs, with each side claiming two wins across four meetings and Marseille taking a 2-1 victory in their most recent encounter in December 2020.
Key factors
- Marseille stopped a four-match losing streak with a 2-0 victory away to Estac Troyes in their most recent match.
- Olympiakos face critical attacking absences with primary forward A. El Kaabi sidelined by a broken leg and Y. Yazici out with a knee injury.
- Olympiakos carry defensive stability into the match, winning three consecutive games across all competitions while allowing just one goal.
- Head-to-head meetings between the clubs average 1.5 goals per match, with three of four historical fixtures finishing under 2.5 goals.
- Marseille must adjust their midfield structure due to P. Hojbjerg being sidelined with a muscle injury alongside defender D. Cornelius.
Team news
Marseille
- D. CorneliusHip Injury
- A. Koum MbondoIllness
Olympiakos Piraeus
- L. BaileyInjury
- ClaytonOff the roster
- A. El KaabiBroken Leg
- K. FortounisMuscle Injury
- M. MouandilmadjiOff the roster
- B. PopovicOff the roster
- J. RocaOff the roster
- L. ScipioniOff the roster
- Y. YaziciKnee Injury
Statistical comparison
Combined scoring rate: 3.6 goals per game (Marseille at home plus Olympiakos Piraeus away).
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | +8 | 9 |
| 3 | BournemouthPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | +7 | 9 |
| 4 | Ferencvarosi TCPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 | Olympiakos PiraeusPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 6 | Union St. GilloisePromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | +7 | 7 |
| 7 | JuventusPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | +6 | 7 |
| 8 | BeşiktaşPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 31 | Lillestrom | 3 | -7 | 1 |
| 32 | Lech Poznan | 3 | -8 | 1 |
| 33 | Plzen | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| 34 | Marseille | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| 35 | Celtic | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| 36 | Ararat-Armenia | 3 | -9 | 0 |
Head-to-head
- 2
- Marseille
- 0
- Draws
- 3
- Olympiakos Piraeus
Olympiakos Piraeus have won 3 of the last 5 meetings, averaging 1.4 goals a game, only 20% went over 2.5.
- 2026-10-15Marseille0-1Olympiakos Piraeus
- 2020-12-01Marseille2-1Olympiakos Piraeus
- 2020-10-21Olympiakos Piraeus1-0Marseille
- 2011-11-23Marseille0-1Olympiakos Piraeus
- 2011-09-13Olympiakos Piraeus0-1Marseille
Our record in UEFA Europa League
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.1 published market
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Published October 15, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.