BetGenius
Round
Round of 32
Venue
Old Trafford, Manchester
Referee
F. Hallam
Form

Recent form

Manchester United
27Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-3D-2L · -5 goal difference

Brighton
85Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-1D-0L · +14 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Over 2.5 Goals (Total Goals) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Manchester United host Brighton in the Round of 32 of the EFL Cup, with both sides looking to build momentum in knockout competition. The hosts enter this encounter on the back of a strong home showing, having scored eleven goals across their last three matches, including a 4-0 victory over Sabah FA and a 5-2 win against Ipswich.

Brighton have demonstrated potent attacking form of their own in recent weeks, recording 4-0 wins against Aston Villa and Tromso alongside a high-scoring 4-3 defeat at Chelsea. However, the visitors are dealing with significant squad absences, with several players sidelined including Kaoru Mitoma, Evan Ferguson, Mats Wieffer, and Yankuba Minteh.

Head-to-head fixtures between these two teams have historically produced open and competitive encounters. Across their past ten meetings, the sides have averaged 2.9 goals per game, with seven of those matches featuring at least three total goals.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Head-to-head encounters between the two clubs have averaged 2.9 goals per match over their last ten meetings.
  2. Manchester United have scored eleven goals across their last three matches in all competitions.
  3. Brighton have registered eight goals across their last three home and away fixtures.
  4. Over 2.5 goals has landed in seven of the previous ten meetings between these two sides.
  5. Brighton carry several fitness concerns into the tie, with players such as Kaoru Mitoma and Evan Ferguson unavailable.
Availability

Team news

Manchester United

  • P. DorguHamstring Injury
  • K. MainooInjury
  • B. SeskoLeg Injury
  • L. ShawInjury
  • M. UgarteKnee Injury
  • T. HeatonAbdominal strain
  • L. MartinezMuscle Injury
  • M. RashfordHip Injury
  • A. HeavenIllness

Brighton

  • F. AzeezAbdominal strain
  • E. FergusonAnkle Injury
  • Y. MintehInjury
  • K. MitomaHamstring Injury
  • S. TzimasKnee Injury
  • M. WiefferKnee Injury
  • Z. YohannaInjury
  • P. StruijkRest
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Manchester United at homeBrighton away
3
Played
3
1-1-1
W-D-L
2-0-1
2
Scored /game
3.3
1.3
Conceded /game
1.3
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
80%
BTTS (last 5)
0%
20%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 5.3 goals per game (Manchester United at home plus Brighton away).

History

Head-to-head

3
Manchester United
1
Draws
6
Brighton

Brighton have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.9 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

  • 2026-05-24Brighton0-3Manchester United
  • 2026-01-11Manchester United1-2Brighton
  • 2025-10-25Manchester United4-2Brighton
  • 2025-01-19Manchester United1-3Brighton
  • 2024-08-24Brighton2-1Manchester United
BetGenius

Our record in EFL Cup

73%41 won from 56 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
74%
Confidence

Both teams have displayed consistently high goal returns in recent outings. Manchester United have scored eleven goals in their last three matches, while Brighton have found the net in four of their last five fixtures, including a seven-goal thriller against Chelsea. Furthermore, seventy percent of the last ten meetings between these sides have produced three or more goals, pointing towards another open cup tie.

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Published September 15, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.