Both teams have displayed consistently high goal returns in recent outings. Manchester United have scored eleven goals in their last three matches, while Brighton have found the net in four of their last five fixtures, including a seven-goal thriller against Chelsea. Furthermore, seventy percent of the last ten meetings between these sides have produced three or more goals, pointing towards another open cup tie.
Manchester United vs Brighton prediction
- Round
- Round of 32
- Venue
- Old Trafford, Manchester
- Referee
- F. Hallam
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Recent form
Last 5 matches · 0W-3D-2L · -5 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 4W-1D-0L · +14 goal difference
Our verdict
BetGenius backs Over 2.5 Goals (Total Goals) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
Manchester United host Brighton in the Round of 32 of the EFL Cup, with both sides looking to build momentum in knockout competition. The hosts enter this encounter on the back of a strong home showing, having scored eleven goals across their last three matches, including a 4-0 victory over Sabah FA and a 5-2 win against Ipswich.
Brighton have demonstrated potent attacking form of their own in recent weeks, recording 4-0 wins against Aston Villa and Tromso alongside a high-scoring 4-3 defeat at Chelsea. However, the visitors are dealing with significant squad absences, with several players sidelined including Kaoru Mitoma, Evan Ferguson, Mats Wieffer, and Yankuba Minteh.
Head-to-head fixtures between these two teams have historically produced open and competitive encounters. Across their past ten meetings, the sides have averaged 2.9 goals per game, with seven of those matches featuring at least three total goals.
Key factors
- Head-to-head encounters between the two clubs have averaged 2.9 goals per match over their last ten meetings.
- Manchester United have scored eleven goals across their last three matches in all competitions.
- Brighton have registered eight goals across their last three home and away fixtures.
- Over 2.5 goals has landed in seven of the previous ten meetings between these two sides.
- Brighton carry several fitness concerns into the tie, with players such as Kaoru Mitoma and Evan Ferguson unavailable.
Team news
Manchester United
- P. DorguHamstring Injury
- K. MainooInjury
- B. SeskoLeg Injury
- L. ShawInjury
- M. UgarteKnee Injury
- T. HeatonAbdominal strain
- L. MartinezMuscle Injury
- M. RashfordHip Injury
- A. HeavenIllness
Brighton
- F. AzeezAbdominal strain
- E. FergusonAnkle Injury
- Y. MintehInjury
- K. MitomaHamstring Injury
- S. TzimasKnee Injury
- M. WiefferKnee Injury
- Z. YohannaInjury
- P. StruijkRest
Statistical comparison
Combined scoring rate: 5.3 goals per game (Manchester United at home plus Brighton away).
Head-to-head
- 3
- Manchester United
- 1
- Draws
- 6
- Brighton
Brighton have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.9 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.
- 2026-05-24Brighton0-3Manchester United
- 2026-01-11Manchester United1-2Brighton
- 2025-10-25Manchester United4-2Brighton
- 2025-01-19Manchester United1-3Brighton
- 2024-08-24Brighton2-1Manchester United
Our record in EFL Cup
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.1 published market
More from BetGenius
Understand these picks
- Over 2.5 goals: Over 2.5 predictions · How goals markets settle · Over 2.5 record
Other EFL Cup predictions
Published September 15, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.

