BTTS No — 66% confidence
Deportivo Alaves W have failed to score in half of their four league games this season and are yet to score on the road. Madrid CFF W have conceded only 0.5 goals per game at home, keeping a clean sheet against Sevilla and conceding just once against Granada. With Alaves averaging 0.75 goals per game overall and struggling for away fluency, at least one clean sheet is a probable outcome.
Madrid CFF W or Draw — 77% confidence
Madrid CFF W have won both of their home fixtures this season, collecting six points from six while conceding just a single goal. Deportivo Alaves W have struggled on their travels, losing their only away game 1-0 and failing to generate consistent attacking threat away from home. Backing the hosts to take at least a point covers the dominant home form while accounting for any lingering defensive adjustments following their previous match.
These two calls are about different parts of the match (both teams to score and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.