BetGenius
Ligue 1Ligue 1
Full time
2-2
Sat 12 Sept · 19:45

Lorient vs Toulouse prediction

Follow LorientFollow ToulouseFollow this match
Round
Regular Season - 4
Venue
Stade du Moustoir, Lorient
Referee
Aurelien Petit, France

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Lorient
68Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +2 goal difference

Toulouse
62Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Lorient or Draw

BetGenius backs Lorient or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Lorient welcome Toulouse for matchday four of Ligue 1, looking to build on their recent 1-0 away victory against Lens. The hosts sit eighth in the standings with four points from their opening three fixtures, demonstrating solid defensive organisation with two clean sheets already recorded.

Toulouse have endured a difficult opening month, collecting a solitary point from their first three matches to sit seventeenth in the table. Consecutive home defeats against Lyon and Lille, alongside a 2-2 draw at Stade Brestois 29, have exposed defensive concerns, with five goals conceded across those outings.

Head-to-head fixtures between these clubs have historically been tight affairs, featuring five draws across the past ten meetings and seventy percent finishing with under 2.5 goals. With Toulouse missing several players including G. Restes, Lorient enter with a platform to secure a positive result.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Lorient enter after a 1-0 away victory over Lens, holding four points from three matches.
  2. Toulouse remain winless in Ligue 1 with one draw and two defeats, conceding five goals.
  3. Five of the last ten head-to-head meetings between Lorient and Toulouse have ended in draws.
  4. Toulouse travel without G. Restes, A. Francis, and A. Donnum.
  5. Seventy percent of the previous ten fixtures between these two teams produced under 2.5 total goals.
Availability

Team news

Lorient

  • B. FadigaInactive

Toulouse

  • M. NifloreInjury
  • S. OppongCalf Injury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Lorient at homeToulouse away
4
Played
4
2-1-1
W-D-L
1-3-0
1.3
Scored /game
2.3
1
Conceded /game
1.5
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
100%

Combined scoring rate: 3.6 goals per game (Lorient at home plus Toulouse away).

Players

Key players this season

Lorient

  • P. Katseris3A

Toulouse

  • C. Tengstedt5G
  • C. Cásseres5A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
4LilleQualifying7+514
5MonacoEuropa League league stage7+414
6RennesPlay-offs7+113
7Lorient7+111
8Nice8-211
9Lens7+310
10Marseille7+49
11Stade Brestois 298+29
12Toulouse7+19
13Auxerre7-69
14Strasbourg7-37
15Angers7-67
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
1
Lorient
5
Draws
4
Toulouse

Toulouse have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.3 goals a game, both teams scored in 70% of them.

  • 2026-03-21Toulouse1-0Lorient
  • 2025-11-09Lorient1-1Toulouse
  • 2024-04-28Lorient1-2Toulouse
  • 2023-12-03Toulouse1-1Lorient
  • 2023-04-23Lorient0-1Toulouse
BetGenius

Our record in Ligue 1

53%53 won from 100 settled predictions (1 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Lorient or Draw
74%
Confidence

Lorient have shown steady defensive balance in the early stages of the season, conceding only two goals across three matches and picking up a 1-0 win away at Lens last time out. Toulouse are yet to find a victory in league play, having conceded five goals across their first three fixtures and dealing with key absences in G. Restes, A. Francis, and A. Donnum. Five of the last ten meetings between these sides have ended in draws, making the home-or-draw selection well-supported by both recent form and past encounters.

Explore

More from BetGenius

Understand these picks

Other Ligue 1 predictions

Teams around them in the table

LyonParis Saint GermainParis FCLilleMonacoRennes
All Ligue 1 predictions →

Published September 11, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.