The evidence materially supports a minimum of three goals rather than stopping at two. Lech Poznan have seen at least four total goals scored in each of their last five competitive matches, including high-scoring affairs such as a 6-1 victory over Korona Kielce, a 4-1 win over Slask Wroclaw, a 2-2 draw with Energie Cottbus, and a 4-0 defeat to Bayer Leverkusen. Over their recorded fixtures, they average 2.5 goals scored and 1.7 goals conceded per match.
Sunderland have also displayed goal-heavy dynamics on their travels, scoring twice at Torreense while conceding five at Manchester City and two at Bournemouth. Defensive absences compound these tendencies, with Sunderland without defenders D. Ballard and T. Meunier, and Lech Poznan missing A. Douglas and W. Monka. Given these defensive concessions and Lech Poznan's sharp finishing, the matchup carries enough goal potential to surpass the 2.5 threshold directly rather than limiting the projection to over 1.5.

