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Fri 16 Oct · 19:45

Le Mans vs Toulouse prediction

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Round
Regular Season - 7
Venue
MMArena, Le Mans
Referee
Aurelien Petit, France

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Le Mans
23Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -5 goal difference

Toulouse
62Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Le Mans or Draw

BetGenius backs Le Mans or Draw (Double Chance) at 73% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

73%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Le Mans have been solid at home, unbeaten in three matches with one win and two draws, while their attack has been led by L. Mafouta’s four goals. However, they are missing forward A. Bourabaa through injury, which could blunt their scoring threat. Toulouse, by contrast, have struggled away, failing to win in three outings and only managing three draws, though they have managed to find the net twice on average in away games. Both teams have yet to keep a clean sheet this season, indicating that goals are likely to come from both sides despite their modest scoring records.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Le Mans unbeaten at home (1‑0‑2) versus Toulouse winless away (0‑3‑0)
  2. Both teams have zero clean sheets this season, suggesting goals from both sides
  3. Le Mans are missing forward A. Bourabaa (3 goals, 2 assists) through injury
  4. Both sides’ goals‑for averages (Le Mans 2.0 home, Toulouse 2.0 away) are below the league’s 2.91 per game
  5. Recent form shows Le Mans with two draws and a win in the last five, while Toulouse have only one win and two draws
Availability

Team news

Le Mans

  • A. BourabaaAnkle Injury
  • E. ColasInjury
  • H. VoyerThigh Injury

Toulouse

  • M. NifloreInjury
  • S. OppongCalf Injury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Le Mans at homeToulouse away
4
Played
4
1-2-1
W-D-L
1-3-0
1.5
Scored /game
2.3
2
Conceded /game
1.5
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
80%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
100%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
100%

Combined scoring rate: 3.8 goals per game (Le Mans at home plus Toulouse away).

Players

Key players this season

Le Mans

  • L. Mafouta4G
  • A. BourabaaAnkle Injury3G · 2A

Toulouse

  • C. Tengstedt5G
  • C. Cásseres5A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
9Lens7+310
10Marseille7+49
11Stade Brestois 298+29
12Toulouse7+19
13Auxerre7-69
14Strasbourg7-37
15Angers7-67
16Le MansRelegation Playoffs7-56
17Estac TroyesRelegation7-114
18Le HavreRelegation7-62
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
0
Le Mans
0
Draws
1
Toulouse

Toulouse have won 1 of the last 1 meeting.

  • 2026-10-16Le Mans0-3Toulouse
BetGenius

Our record in Ligue 1

53%53 won from 100 settled predictions (1 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Double Chance
Le Mans or Draw
73%
Confidence

Le Mans’ unbeaten home record and Toulouse’s winless away form make a home defeat unlikely. The home side’s average of two goals per game at home offsets the away side’s two‑goal average away, but both teams concede regularly and have no clean sheets, pointing to a low‑scoring encounter that should stay under 2.5 goals. Injuries to Le Mans’ key attacker further reduce the chance of a high‑scoring game, supporting the double‑chance on a home win or draw.

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Published October 15, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.