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Sun 13 Sept · 16:15

Le Mans vs Lens prediction

Follow Le MansFollow LensFollow this match
Round
Regular Season - 4
Venue
MMArena, Le Mans
Referee
Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj, France

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Le Mans
23Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -5 goal difference

Lens
49Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · 0 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Both Teams to Score
Yes

BetGenius backs Yes (Both Teams to Score) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

75%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Le Mans welcome Lens to Stade Marie-Marvingt in round four of the Ligue 1 campaign, with both sides looking to stabilise their defensive records after an open start to the season. The hosts remain winless after three matches with two draws and a defeat, though they have been dangerous in attack with five goals scored across those fixtures.

Lens sit just above Le Mans in the standings on three points, having recorded one victory and two losses in league action. While they secured an impressive European away win in midweek, their domestic outings have shown defensive vulnerability, with five goals conceded across three league encounters.

With both teams consistently finding the net while struggling to keep clean sheets, this encounter sets up as an open contest between two attack-minded setups.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Le Mans have scored in all three of their Ligue 1 matches this season while conceding six goals across that stretch.
  2. Lens have failed to record a clean sheet in domestic league play, allowing five goals in three games.
  3. Lens are missing key defensive personnel through the suspension of S. Sagnan and injuries to S. Baidoo, J. Chavez, and M. Nawrocki.
  4. Key attackers L. Mafouta for Le Mans and F. Thauvin for Lens have each scored three goals in league play this season.
Availability

Team news

Le Mans

  • A. BourabaaAnkle Injury
  • E. ColasInjury
  • H. VoyerThigh Injury

Lens

  • M. NawrockiKnee Injury
  • A. SimaMuscle Injury
  • I. GaniouKnee Injury
  • J. GraditMuscle Injury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Le Mans at homeLens away
4
Played
4
1-2-1
W-D-L
1-1-2
1.5
Scored /game
1.8
2
Conceded /game
1.8
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
80%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
100%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 3.3 goals per game (Le Mans at home plus Lens away).

Players

Key players this season

Le Mans

  • L. Mafouta4G
  • A. BourabaaAnkle Injury3G · 2A

Lens

  • F. Thauvin6A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
6RennesPlay-offs7+113
7Lorient7+111
8Nice8-211
9Lens7+310
10Marseille7+49
11Stade Brestois 298+29
12Toulouse7+19
13Auxerre7-69
14Strasbourg7-37
15Angers7-67
16Le MansRelegation Playoffs7-56
17Estac TroyesRelegation7-114
18Le HavreRelegation7-62
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
2
Le Mans
1
Draws
2
Lens

the last 5 meetings are split 2-2 with 1 drawn, averaging 3.0 goals a game, both teams scored in 80% of them.

  • 2019-07-27Le Mans1-2Lens
  • 2013-05-24Le Mans2-1Lens
  • 2012-07-28Lens2-2Le Mans
  • 2012-04-06Lens1-3Le Mans
  • 2011-11-26Le Mans0-1Lens
BetGenius

Our record in Ligue 1

53%53 won from 100 settled predictions (1 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Both Teams to Score
Yes
75%
Confidence

Both teams have displayed identical patterns across the opening three rounds of the season. Le Mans have scored in every single league match, averaging 1.7 goals per game, but have also conceded at a rate of 2.0 goals per game with zero clean sheets. Their talisman L. Mafouta is in fine form with three goals and an assist.

Lens average 2.0 goals per game in Ligue 1 led by F. Thauvin with three goals, but they are also yet to keep a domestic clean sheet. Defensive absentees complicate matters for Lens, with defender S. Sagnan suspended following a red card alongside multiple defensive injury concerns including S. Baidoo and M. Nawrocki. Given that both sides have seen defensive lapses while remaining potent going forward, both teams finding the scoresheet is the most compelling outcome.

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Published September 12, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.