Heart of Midlothian enter this match on a four-game winning streak and have scored 13 goals in six league fixtures this season. Kilmarnock sit 12th in the table and have lost all three of their home league matches so far, scoring only one goal. Although Kilmarnock have managed draws in their last two matches, Hearts possess the form and attacking edge to come away with at least a point.
Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian prediction
- Round
- Regular Season - 7
- Venue
- The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park, Kilmarnock
- Referee
- Duncan Nicolson, Scotland
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Recent form
Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · 0 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · -3 goal difference
Our verdict
BetGenius backs Heart Of Midlothian or Draw (Double Chance) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
Kilmarnock welcome Heart of Midlothian to Rugby Park sitting at the foot of the Premiership table with four points from their opening six matches. The home side have struggled defensively on their own turf, losing all three of their home league encounters while conceding ten goals and scoring just once. Recent successive draws against Aberdeen have shown signs of stabilization, but breaking their home duck remains a significant hurdle.
Heart of Midlothian arrive in fine spirits, positioned third in the standings on twelve points. Hearts have put together a four-match winning run across recent outings, highlighted by high-scoring displays including a 3-1 derby victory away at Hibernian. With thirteen goals scored across six league matches, their attacking unit led by J. Wilson and J. McPake is proving potent.
While head-to-head history between these two sides has traditionally been tightly contested, featuring a low average of 1.9 goals per match across the last ten meetings, the stark contrast in league form gives the visitors the upper hand heading into this clash.
Key factors
- Heart of Midlothian have won their last four matches in all competitions, scoring ten goals in that span.
- Kilmarnock have failed to win any of their three home league games this season, conceding ten goals.
- Hearts sit third in the Premiership on 12 points, eight points ahead of 12th-placed Kilmarnock.
- Historical meetings between the teams tend to be low scoring, with 70% of the last ten encounters staying under 2.5 goals.
Statistical comparison
Combined scoring rate: 2.4 goals per game (Kilmarnock at home plus Heart Of Midlothian away).
Key players this season
Kilmarnock
- G. Kiltie3G
Heart Of Midlothian
- J. McPake3G · 5A
- Cláudio Braga2A
League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CelticPromotion - Premiership (Championship Group) | 9 | +18 | 24 |
| 2 | RangersPromotion - Premiership (Championship Group) | 9 | +6 | 20 |
| 3 | Heart Of MidlothianPromotion - Premiership (Championship Group) | 9 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 | DundeePromotion - Premiership (Championship Group) | 9 | +3 | 14 |
| 5 | ST JohnstonePromotion - Premiership (Championship Group) | 9 | 0 | 12 |
| 6 | Dundee UtdPromotion - Premiership (Championship Group) | 9 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | ST MirrenPremiership (Relegation Group) | 9 | -8 | 10 |
| 9 | FalkirkPremiership (Relegation Group) | 9 | -3 | 9 |
| 10 | MotherwellPremiership (Relegation Group) | 9 | -5 | 8 |
| 11 | KilmarnockPremiership (Relegation Group) | 9 | -10 | 8 |
| 12 | HibernianPremiership (Relegation Group) | 9 | -5 | 7 |
Head-to-head
- 3
- Kilmarnock
- 3
- Draws
- 4
- Heart Of Midlothian
Heart Of Midlothian have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 1.9 goals a game, only 30% went over 2.5.
- 2026-03-14Kilmarnock1-0Heart Of Midlothian
- 2025-12-03Heart Of Midlothian1-1Kilmarnock
- 2025-10-18Kilmarnock0-3Heart Of Midlothian
- 2025-05-18Kilmarnock0-1Heart Of Midlothian
- 2025-01-25Heart Of Midlothian3-2Kilmarnock
Our record in Premiership
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.1 published market
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Published September 18, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.

