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Sat 5 Sept · 16:00

Karpaty vs Shakhtar Donetsk prediction

Follow Karpaty Follow Shakhtar Donetsk Follow this match

Round: Regular Season - 5
Venue: Ukraina Stadium, Lviv
Referee: Oleksandr Afanasev, Ukraine

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Karpaty

66Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +6 goal difference

Shakhtar Donetsk

71Strong

Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +8 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance

Shakhtar Donetsk or Draw

BetGenius backs Shakhtar Donetsk or Draw (Double Chance) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

75%

Confidence

Strong

Preview

Match preview

Top spot is at stake in the Premier League as table leaders Karpaty host third-placed Shakhtar Donetsk in round five.

Karpaty have enjoyed an impressive start to the campaign, collecting ten points from their opening four matches with three victories and a draw. At home, they have won both fixtures without conceding a goal, scoring six times. However, their defensive resolve will be tested against a Shakhtar side looking to bounce back immediately after suffering a 2-0 home defeat against Polessya.

Shakhtar Donetsk enter the contest with nine points from four matches and hold a flawless away record this term, having secured two wins from two on the road with clean sheets against Epitsentr Dunayivtsi and FC Kharkiv. Historical meetings heavily favor Shakhtar, who remain unbeaten across the last ten encounters with Karpaty, winning eight and drawing two.

Analysis

Key factors

Shakhtar Donetsk are undefeated in their last ten head-to-head meetings against Karpaty, recording eight wins and two draws.
Shakhtar have won both of their away league fixtures this season without conceding a goal.
Karpaty sit first in the table with ten points from four games, scoring eleven goals and conceding twice.
Karpaty have kept clean sheets in both home matches this season, scoring six goals.
Shakhtar Donetsk look to rebound after suffering their first defeat of the campaign in a 2-0 home loss to Polessya.

Availability

Team news

Karpaty

Team news unavailable for this fixture.

Shakhtar Donetsk

I. AzaroviKnee Injury
EguinaldoShoulder Injury
V. KorniyenkoOff the roster
MarlonMuscle Injury
P. ObahOff the roster
T. PuzankovOff the roster
M. ShvedOff the roster
D. TvardovskyiOff the roster

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Karpaty at homeShakhtar Donetsk away

Played

2-0-1

W-D-L

4-0-0

2.3

Scored /game

0.7

Conceded /game

0.3

—

Clean sheets

—

Failed to score

—

40%

BTTS (last 5)

40%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

80%

Combined scoring rate: 4.3 goals per game (Karpaty at home plus Shakhtar Donetsk away).

Players

Key players this season

Shakhtar Donetsk

V. Bondar2A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	PolessyaPromotion - Champions League (League phase)	10	+15	25
2	Shakhtar DonetskPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)	9	+15	24
3	Dynamo KyivPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)	9	+5	19
4	FC Kharkiv	8	+10	18
5	Karpaty	9	+9	15
6	LNZ Cherkasy	9	+1	14
7	Zorya Luhansk	9	-1	14
8	Kolos Kovalivka	9	-1	11

History

Head-to-head

Full record →

0
Karpaty: 2
Draws: 8
Shakhtar Donetsk

Shakhtar Donetsk have won 8 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.9 goals a game, 80% went over 2.5.

2026-02-22Shakhtar Donetsk3-0Karpaty
2025-08-10Karpaty3-3Shakhtar Donetsk
2025-03-11Karpaty0-0Shakhtar Donetsk
2024-09-14Shakhtar Donetsk5-2Karpaty
2019-11-02Karpaty0-3Shakhtar Donetsk

BetGenius

Our record in Premier League

62%41 won from 66 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON

Double Chance

Shakhtar Donetsk or Draw

75%

Confidence

Shakhtar Donetsk possess a dominant record in this matchup, having gone undefeated in their past ten head-to-head fixtures against Karpaty with eight wins and two draws. On the road this season, Shakhtar have won both of their matches without conceding a single goal. While Karpaty lead the standings and are unbeaten through four league rounds, Shakhtar's historical upper hand and reliable away defensive form make them well placed to secure at least a point.

Explore

Karpaty vs Shakhtar Donetsk prediction

Recent form

Our verdict

Match preview

Key factors

Team news

Karpaty

Shakhtar Donetsk

Statistical comparison

Key players this season

Shakhtar Donetsk

Table context

Head-to-head

Our record in Premier League

1 published market

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