BetGenius
Round
Clausura - 4
Venue
Estadio Romelio Martinez, Barranquilla
Referee
C. Ortega
Form

Recent form

Junior
43Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · +1 goal difference

Deportivo Pereira
34Poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-3D-2L · -5 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
Under 2.5 Goals + Junior or Draw

BetGenius backs Under 2.5 Goals + Junior or Draw (Combo Bet) at 72% confidence — a solid call.

72%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Junior host Deportivo Pereira in a clash that pits a top‑two side against the league cellar‑runners. Junior sit second with 35 points and a positive goal difference, while Deportivo Pereira languish at 20th with just 10 points and a –17 goal gap.

Junior’s recent form has been mixed, but they have secured three wins in their last five, including a 4‑1 away victory over Fortaleza FC. Deportivo Pereira have struggled to score, recording only one goal in five matches and drawing four of them, the most recent being a 0‑0 stalemate at home against Deportivo Cali.

Historically Junior have the edge in the head‑to‑head, winning four of the last ten meetings and losing three, with the latest encounter a 3‑2 Junior win at Deportivo’s ground. Both teams average less than two goals per game (Junior 1.68 at home, Deportivo 0.8 at home), suggesting a low‑scoring affair.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Junior at homeDeportivo Pereira away
19
Played
17
9-6-4
W-D-L
1-7-9
1.7
Scored /game
0.6
1.3
Conceded /game
1.6
32%
Clean sheets
12%
16%
Failed to score
59%
80%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 2.3 goals per game (Junior at home plus Deportivo Pereira away).

Players

Key players this season

Junior

  • L. Muriel16G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1Atletico NacionalPost season qualification19+2040
2JuniorPost season qualification19+735
3Deportivo PastoPost season qualification19+434
4America de CaliPost season qualification19+1033
5Once CaldasPost season qualification19+933
17Alianza Valledupar19-1417
18Chico19-1717
19Cucuta19-1316
20Deportivo Pereira19-1710
History

Head-to-head

4
Junior
4
Draws
2
Deportivo Pereira

Junior have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.0 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

  • 2026-10-14Junior1-1Deportivo Pereira
  • 2026-02-03Deportivo Pereira2-3Junior
  • 2025-10-18Junior3-2Deportivo Pereira
  • 2025-04-27Deportivo Pereira1-0Junior
  • 2024-10-20Junior3-1Deportivo Pereira
BetGenius

Our record in Primera A

71%17 won from 24 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

4 published markets

Combo BetWON
Combo Bet
Under 2.5 Goals + Junior or Draw
72%
Both must land · no better than

Under 2.5 Goals — 72% confidence

Junior score 1.68 goals per home game and concede 1.26, whereas Deportivo Pereira manage only 0.8 goals at home and concede 1.47. Combined, the expected total is around 2.0 goals, below the 2.5 threshold. Recent matches have produced low scores, supporting an under‑2.5 outcome.

Junior or Draw — 78% confidence

Junior’s home record (9‑6‑4) and superior league position give them a clear advantage, while Deportivo Pereira’s poor away form (1‑6‑9) and low scoring rate make a loss likely. The head‑to‑head favours Junior, who have won three of the last five meetings. A double chance on Junior avoids the draw risk while reflecting the modest win probability.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetWON
Double Chance
Junior or Draw
78%
Confidence

Junior’s home record (9‑6‑4) and superior league position give them a clear advantage, while Deportivo Pereira’s poor away form (1‑6‑9) and low scoring rate make a loss likely. The head‑to‑head favours Junior, who have won three of the last five meetings. A double chance on Junior avoids the draw risk while reflecting the modest win probability.

Combo BetLOST
Both Teams to Score
No
68%
Confidence

Deportivo Pereira have struggled to find the net, averaging 0.7 goals per match overall and keeping a clean sheet in only two away games. Junior, while capable of scoring, have recorded six clean sheets at home. The likelihood of both sides scoring is limited, making a ‘no‑both‑teams‑to‑score’ selection the more probable outcome.

Combo BetWON
Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
72%
Confidence

Junior score 1.68 goals per home game and concede 1.26, whereas Deportivo Pereira manage only 0.8 goals at home and concede 1.47. Combined, the expected total is around 2.0 goals, below the 2.5 threshold. Recent matches have produced low scores, supporting an under‑2.5 outcome.

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Published October 13, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.