BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 8
Venue
Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh
Form

Recent form

Heart Of Midlothian
33Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · -3 goal difference

ST Mirren
4Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-0D-5L · -12 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Heart Of Midlothian or Draw

BetGenius backs Heart Of Midlothian or Draw (Double Chance) at 78% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

78%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Heart of Midlothian return to Tynecastle looking to protect an unblemished home record in the Premiership. Hearts sit third in the standings on 13 points, having collected maximum points from their three home fixtures with eight goals scored and only two conceded. Although their five-game sequence across all competitions features two away slip-ups, their domestic output in front of their home support remains prolific.

ST Mirren arrive in Edinburgh occupying fifth place on 10 points but encounter a challenging run of results. The Buddies have suffered three consecutive defeats across their latest outings, falling against Celtic, Rangers, and Dundee United while managing only one goal in that span. While their away defensive record in the league shows just one goal conceded in three trips, their recent scoring slump poses a significant obstacle.

Hospitality at Tynecastle has heavily favoured Hearts in recent head-to-head encounters. Across the last three meetings hosted by Heart of Midlothian, the home side has claimed victory in all three by scorelines of 2-0, 3-1, and 4-0. With ST Mirren struggling for offensive fluency, the hosts hold an evident advantage heading into this encounter.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Heart of Midlothian have won all three home league fixtures this season, scoring eight goals and conceding two.
  2. ST Mirren have lost three consecutive matches in all competitions, scoring only one goal across that stretch.
  3. Hearts have won all three of their most recent home meetings against ST Mirren by an aggregate score of 9-1.
  4. ST Mirren have been limited in attack away from home, scoring an average of 1.0 goal per game in league play.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Heart Of Midlothian at homeST Mirren away
4
Played
5
4-0-0
W-D-L
2-0-3
3.3
Scored /game
0.8
0.5
Conceded /game
1.8
—
Clean sheets
40%
—
Failed to score
40%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 4.1 goals per game (Heart Of Midlothian at home plus ST Mirren away).

Players

Key players this season

Heart Of Midlothian

  • J. McPake3G · 5A
  • Cláudio Braga2A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1CelticPromotion - Premiership (Championship Group)9+1824
2RangersPromotion - Premiership (Championship Group)9+620
3Heart Of MidlothianPromotion - Premiership (Championship Group)9+516
4DundeePromotion - Premiership (Championship Group)9+314
5ST JohnstonePromotion - Premiership (Championship Group)9012
6Dundee UtdPromotion - Premiership (Championship Group)9-112
7AberdeenPremiership (Relegation Group)9011
8ST MirrenPremiership (Relegation Group)9-810
9FalkirkPremiership (Relegation Group)9-39
10MotherwellPremiership (Relegation Group)9-58
11KilmarnockPremiership (Relegation Group)9-108
History

Head-to-head

4
Heart Of Midlothian
4
Draws
2
ST Mirren

Heart Of Midlothian have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.1 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

  • 2026-10-10Heart Of Midlothian5-0ST Mirren
  • 2026-02-03ST Mirren1-0Heart Of Midlothian
  • 2026-01-14Heart Of Midlothian2-0ST Mirren
  • 2025-10-29ST Mirren2-2Heart Of Midlothian
  • 2025-08-16ST Mirren1-1Heart Of Midlothian
BetGenius

Our record in Premiership

58%39 won from 67 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Heart Of Midlothian or Draw
78%
Confidence

Heart of Midlothian have maintained a perfect record on home soil this season, winning three out of three league games with eight goals scored. In addition, Hearts have defeated ST Mirren in each of the previous three head-to-head encounters played at Tynecastle. ST Mirren come into the fixture on a three-match losing sequence in which they scored just once. Backing the home side to avoid defeat covers both a home win and a low-scoring stalemate.

Explore

More from BetGenius

Published October 9, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.