Heart of Midlothian have maintained a perfect record on home soil this season, winning three out of three league games with eight goals scored. In addition, Hearts have defeated ST Mirren in each of the previous three head-to-head encounters played at Tynecastle. ST Mirren come into the fixture on a three-match losing sequence in which they scored just once. Backing the home side to avoid defeat covers both a home win and a low-scoring stalemate.
Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Mirren prediction
- Round
- Regular Season - 8
- Venue
- Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Recent form
Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · -3 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 0W-0D-5L · -12 goal difference
Our verdict
BetGenius backs Heart Of Midlothian or Draw (Double Chance) at 78% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
Heart of Midlothian return to Tynecastle looking to protect an unblemished home record in the Premiership. Hearts sit third in the standings on 13 points, having collected maximum points from their three home fixtures with eight goals scored and only two conceded. Although their five-game sequence across all competitions features two away slip-ups, their domestic output in front of their home support remains prolific.
ST Mirren arrive in Edinburgh occupying fifth place on 10 points but encounter a challenging run of results. The Buddies have suffered three consecutive defeats across their latest outings, falling against Celtic, Rangers, and Dundee United while managing only one goal in that span. While their away defensive record in the league shows just one goal conceded in three trips, their recent scoring slump poses a significant obstacle.
Hospitality at Tynecastle has heavily favoured Hearts in recent head-to-head encounters. Across the last three meetings hosted by Heart of Midlothian, the home side has claimed victory in all three by scorelines of 2-0, 3-1, and 4-0. With ST Mirren struggling for offensive fluency, the hosts hold an evident advantage heading into this encounter.
Key factors
- Heart of Midlothian have won all three home league fixtures this season, scoring eight goals and conceding two.
- ST Mirren have lost three consecutive matches in all competitions, scoring only one goal across that stretch.
- Hearts have won all three of their most recent home meetings against ST Mirren by an aggregate score of 9-1.
- ST Mirren have been limited in attack away from home, scoring an average of 1.0 goal per game in league play.
Statistical comparison
Combined scoring rate: 4.1 goals per game (Heart Of Midlothian at home plus ST Mirren away).
Key players this season
Heart Of Midlothian
- J. McPake3G · 5A
- Cláudio Braga2A
League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CelticPromotion - Premiership (Championship Group) | 9 | +18 | 24 |
| 2 | RangersPromotion - Premiership (Championship Group) | 9 | +6 | 20 |
| 3 | Heart Of MidlothianPromotion - Premiership (Championship Group) | 9 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 | DundeePromotion - Premiership (Championship Group) | 9 | +3 | 14 |
| 5 | ST JohnstonePromotion - Premiership (Championship Group) | 9 | 0 | 12 |
| 6 | Dundee UtdPromotion - Premiership (Championship Group) | 9 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | AberdeenPremiership (Relegation Group) | 9 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | ST MirrenPremiership (Relegation Group) | 9 | -8 | 10 |
| 9 | FalkirkPremiership (Relegation Group) | 9 | -3 | 9 |
| 10 | MotherwellPremiership (Relegation Group) | 9 | -5 | 8 |
| 11 | KilmarnockPremiership (Relegation Group) | 9 | -10 | 8 |
Head-to-head
- 4
- Heart Of Midlothian
- 4
- Draws
- 2
- ST Mirren
Heart Of Midlothian have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.1 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.
- 2026-10-10Heart Of Midlothian5-0ST Mirren
- 2026-02-03ST Mirren1-0Heart Of Midlothian
- 2026-01-14Heart Of Midlothian2-0ST Mirren
- 2025-10-29ST Mirren2-2Heart Of Midlothian
- 2025-08-16ST Mirren1-1Heart Of Midlothian
Our record in Premiership
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.1 published market
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Published October 9, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.

