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Sat 19 Sept · 14:00

FS Jelgava vs Riga prediction

Round
Regular Season - 31
Venue
Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs, Jelgava
Referee
J. Keziks
Form

Recent form

FS Jelgava
52Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · +2 goal difference

Riga
81Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-1D-0L · +5 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Match Winner
Riga to win

BetGenius backs Riga to win (Match Winner) at 80% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

80%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

FS Jelgava host title-chasing Riga in round 31 of the Virsliga, facing a significant gulf in both league standings and overall campaign metrics. The hosts sit in 7th place with 32 points from 30 matches, having lost 9 of their 15 home fixtures while scoring only 13 goals on their own ground.

Riga enter the fixture in 2nd position with 70 points, possessing the league's most potent attack with 85 goals scored across 30 games. Away from home, Riga have recorded 9 victories in 14 outings, averaging 2.8 goals per match and suffering just 2 defeats all season.

Historical meetings between these clubs underline the visitors' dominance. Riga have won 8 of the previous 10 head-to-head encounters without losing any, including an emphatic 8-0 victory at FS Jelgava earlier in the 2026 campaign.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Riga hold a 38-point advantage over FS Jelgava in the Virsliga standings after 30 matches.
  2. Riga are undefeated in their last 10 head-to-head matches against FS Jelgava, securing 8 wins.
  3. FS Jelgava have lost 9 of their 15 home league games this season, scoring only 13 goals.
  4. Riga have scored 85 goals in 30 league fixtures, averaging 2.8 goals per game on their travels.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

FS Jelgava at homeRiga away
15
Played
3
4-2-9
W-D-L
1-2-0
0.9
Scored /game
1.3
1.6
Conceded /game
1
13%
Clean sheets
—
53%
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 2.2 goals per game (FS Jelgava at home plus Riga away).

Players

Key players this season

Riga

  • Paulo3G · 1A
  • M. Badamosi2G
  • S. Oulad M'Hand1A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1Rīgas FS33+5783
2Riga33+5979
3Auda33+1964
4FK Liepaja33046
5BFC Daugavpils33+245
6Super Nova33-1538
7FS Jelgava33-2232
8Grobiņa33-3129
9Tukums33-2124
10Ogre United33-4818
History

Head-to-head

0
FS Jelgava
2
Draws
8
Riga

Riga have won 8 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 4.2 goals a game, 70% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-07-03Riga3-0FS Jelgava
  • 2026-05-16Riga2-2FS Jelgava
  • 2026-04-04FS Jelgava0-8Riga
  • 2025-09-21FS Jelgava2-3Riga
  • 2025-07-01Riga3-0FS Jelgava
BetGenius

Our record in Virsliga

55%22 won from 40 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Match Winner
Riga to win
80%
Confidence

Riga possess a substantial advantage across all major statistical metrics, holding a 38-point lead over Jelgava in the table and boasting 85 goals scored to Jelgava's 32. Across their last 10 head-to-head fixtures, Riga have remained undefeated with 8 wins, including an 8-0 away win against Jelgava earlier this season. Jelgava have struggled at home with 9 losses in 15 matches and failing to score in 8 of those games, pointing toward an away victory.

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Published September 18, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.