Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Last 5 matches · 0W-1D-4L · -7 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +2 goal difference
BetGenius backs Corinthians or Draw (Double Chance) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.
Corinthians welcome Santos to the Neo Quimica Arena in round 25 of Serie A, aiming to solidify their position in the Copa Sudamericana qualification places. Sitting 10th with 32 points from 24 fixtures, Corinthians have relied heavily on defensive solidity on home soil, conceding only 10 goals in 12 home matches (0.8 goals against per game) while securing six clean sheets.
Santos occupy 14th place with 26 points from 23 matches, hovering just two points above the relegation zone. While Gabriel Barbosa leads their attack with eight goals, Santos have found victories difficult to come by on their travels, winning just one of their 10 away league matches (one win, four draws, five losses) while conceding 19 goals away from home.
Head-to-head history favours the hosts in this venue, with Corinthians unbeaten in their last four home clashes against Santos (three wins and one draw). With both teams dealing with key absentees—including Yuri Alberto and Breno Bidon for the hosts, and Joao Schmidt suspended for the visitors—a tight, competitive derby is expected.
Combined scoring rate: 2.6 goals per game (Corinthians at home plus Santos away).
League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | FluminensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification) | 31 | +10 | 51 |
| 6 | Atletico-MGPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) | 31 | +7 | 50 |
| 7 | BahiaPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) | 31 | +5 | 49 |
| 8 | SantosPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) | 31 | +2 | 45 |
| 9 | Sao PauloPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) | 31 | +1 | 42 |
| 10 | RB BragantinoPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) | 31 | +3 | 41 |
| 11 | BotafogoPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) | 31 | -4 | 39 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 31 | -11 | 37 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 31 | -8 | 36 |
| 15 | Vasco DA Gama | 30 | -7 | 35 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 31 | -7 | 33 |
| 17 | InternacionalRelegation - Serie B | 31 | -7 | 32 |
| 18 | GremioRelegation - Serie B | 31 | -10 | 31 |
| 19 | RemoRelegation - Serie B | 31 | -15 | 26 |
Corinthians have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.1 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.Corinthians have maintained a resilient home defensive record, allowing only 0.8 goals per match and keeping six clean sheets in 12 home league outings. In contrast, Santos have managed just one victory in 10 away league games this season. With Corinthians also unbeaten in their last four home head-to-head encounters against Santos, backing the hosts on the double chance offers a well-supported probability profile.
Published August 29, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.
