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Wed 7 Oct · 00:45

Colombia vs Peru prediction

Round
Friendly International
Venue
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens
Form

Recent form

Colombia
45Average

Last 5 matches · 1W-3D-1L · 0 goal difference

Peru
25Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -6 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Colombia or Draw

BetGenius backs Colombia or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Colombia face South American rivals Peru in an international friendly, with both nations looking to build consistency following mixed results in recent outings. Colombia come into the contest having maintained tight scorelines across their recent fixtures, including low-scoring draws against Mexico, Switzerland, and Portugal.

Peru have endured a difficult stretch, securing only one victory from their last seven matches while conceding 15 goals in that span. Their away form has been particularly fragile, suffering heavy defeats against the United States and Canada, though attacker J. Velez remains a goal threat having scored four times.

Recent meetings between these two sides suggest another closely contested affair. The two most recent competitive fixtures ended in draws, highlighting the tactical familiarity and competitive balance when these national setups clash.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Colombia have maintained tight scorelines recently, with all of their last five matches producing two or fewer total goals.
  2. Peru have conceded 15 goals in their last seven fixtures, failing to keep a single clean sheet during that run.
  3. Peru have managed only one win in their last seven matches across all competitions.
  4. The two most recent head-to-head meetings between Colombia and Peru finished level, including a 0-0 draw in June 2025.
  5. Historical meetings between the sides have averaged 2.0 goals per game, with 60 percent remaining under the 2.5 goal mark.
Availability

Team news

Colombia

  • J. CórdobaMuscle Bruise

Team news last updated Jul 7 (109 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.

Peru

Team news unavailable for this fixture.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Colombia at homePeru away
5
Played
5
2-0-3
W-D-L
1-1-3
1.4
Scored /game
0.8
1.4
Conceded /game
2
20%
Clean sheets
0%
20%
Failed to score
40%
20%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
0%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 2.2 goals per game (Colombia at home plus Peru away).

Players

Key players this season

Peru

  • J. Vélez4G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

History

Head-to-head

4
Colombia
4
Draws
2
Peru

Colombia have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.0 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.

  • 2025-06-06Colombia0-0Peru
  • 2024-09-07Peru1-1Colombia
  • 2022-01-28Colombia0-1Peru
  • 2021-07-10Colombia3-2Peru
  • 2021-06-21Colombia1-2Peru
BetGenius

Our record in Friendlies

62%53 won from 86 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

2 published markets

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Colombia or Draw
74%
Confidence

Colombia have demonstrated strong defensive stability, seeing all five of their most recent fixtures finish with under 2.5 total goals. Peru have struggled to maintain defensive resilience, failing to keep a clean sheet in seven matches and conceding an average of 2.0 goals per away match. With Colombia holding the superior recent head-to-head record across the last ten meetings and Peru winning just one of their last seven games, backing the home side to win or draw covers the most likely outcomes in what projects to be a low-scoring match.

GoalsWON
Total Goals
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
Confidence

Peru have conceded an average of 2.0 goals per game on the road and 2.1 overall, having kept zero clean sheets in their seven recorded fixtures. Every one of Peru's last five matches has produced at least two total goals. While Colombia have participated in several tight affairs recently, their home average of 1.4 goals scored per game aligns well against a vulnerable Peruvian backline to produce at least two goals. Over 2.5 is not sufficiently supported given Colombia's recent low-scoring run, making the 1.5 line the well-fitting total goals call.

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Published October 5, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.