BetGenius
Round
Friendly International
Venue
Longxing Football Stadium, Chongqing
Form

Recent form

China
31Poor

Last 4 matches · 1W-1D-2L · -5 goal difference

Tajikistan
33Poor

Last 4 matches · 1W-1D-2L · -1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
China or Draw + Under 2.5 Goals

BetGenius backs China or Draw + Under 2.5 Goals (Combo Bet) at 71% confidence — a solid call.

71%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

China host Tajikistan in an international friendly fixture, with both teams looking to bounce back from recent defeats. China suffered a 3-0 home loss against New Zealand in their previous outing, though they previously recorded a 3-0 victory over the Maldives and a scoreless draw against Thailand on home soil. Across their last five fixtures, China have gathered two victories, two draws, and one defeat.

Tajikistan enter the match following back-to-back losses, most recently falling 4-2 at home to Palestine after a narrow 1-0 away defeat against Azerbaijan. In their four recorded fixtures, Tajikistan have secured one win, drawn once, and lost twice, conceding seven goals in the process while struggling for offensive output on their travels.

Historical meetings between these nations have typically been tight, low-scoring encounters. The previous two head-to-head fixtures produced a 0-0 draw at the 2024 Asian Cup and a 1-0 friendly victory for China in 2019, with Tajikistan yet to score against China across that sample.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

China at homeTajikistan away
4
Played
1
1-1-2
W-D-L
0-0-1
0.8
Scored /game
—
2
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
—
BTTS (last 5)
—
—
Over 2.5 (last 5)
—
History

Head-to-head

1
China
1
Draws
0
Tajikistan

China have won 1 of the last 2 meetings.

  • 2024-01-13China0-0Tajikistan
  • 2019-06-11China1-0Tajikistan
BetGenius

Our record in Friendlies

62%53 won from 86 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

Combo BetLOST
Combo Bet
China or Draw + Under 2.5 Goals
71%
Both must land · no better than

China or Draw — 74% confidence

China have avoided defeat in four of their last five matches overall and hold an unbeaten record against Tajikistan across their previous two meetings. Tajikistan arrive after losing their last two matches and were held scoreless in their lone away fixture against Azerbaijan, making the home double chance a well-supported option.

Under 2.5 Goals — 71% confidence

The two previous meetings between China and Tajikistan produced a combined total of only one goal, with neither fixture surpassing the 2.5 line. Additionally, China have failed to score in three of their last five matches, while Tajikistan failed to find the net in their recent away outing.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetWON
Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
71%
Confidence

The two previous meetings between China and Tajikistan produced a combined total of only one goal, with neither fixture surpassing the 2.5 line. Additionally, China have failed to score in three of their last five matches, while Tajikistan failed to find the net in their recent away outing.

Combo BetLOST
Double Chance
China or Draw
74%
Confidence

China have avoided defeat in four of their last five matches overall and hold an unbeaten record against Tajikistan across their previous two meetings. Tajikistan arrive after losing their last two matches and were held scoreless in their lone away fixture against Azerbaijan, making the home double chance a well-supported option.

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Published October 4, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.