BetGenius
Round
Friendly International
Venue
Longxing Football Stadium, Chongqing
Referee
A. Nadjafaliev
Form

Recent form

China
31Poor

Last 4 matches · 1W-1D-2L · -5 goal difference

Palestine
62Average

Last 4 matches · 1W-3D-0L · +2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Under 2.5 Goals (Total Goals) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

68%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

China host Palestine in an international friendly looking to rebound from a 3-0 home defeat against New Zealand. Across their last five matches, China have secured two victories, two draws, and suffered one defeat, maintaining a home goal average of 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded per fixture.

Palestine enter this contest on an encouraging four-match unbeaten run, comprising one win and three draws. Their most recent outing delivered a 4-2 away victory over Tajikistan, following a 2-2 draw against New Zealand and consecutive goalless draws against Kyrgyzstan. Their defensive record on the road has been sturdy, yielding two clean sheets from three away fixtures and conceding an average of just 0.7 goals per game.

Previous head-to-head encounters suggest a tightly contested affair. China defeated Palestine 2-0 in their most recent friendly meeting in June 2023, following a 1-1 draw in 2018. With both sides demonstrating disciplined setups and relatively low-scoring trends in recent months, another balanced matchup is anticipated.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Head-to-head history has seen both previous meetings stay under 2.5 total goals, averaging 2.0 goals per game.
  2. China have scored an average of 1.0 goal per game at home while failing to score in two of their last three home fixtures.
  3. Palestine are unbeaten in four matches and have conceded an average of only 0.7 goals per game across their three away fixtures.
  4. Palestine kept clean sheets in two of their three away matches, recording back-to-back 0-0 draws against Kyrgyzstan.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

China at homePalestine away
4
Played
4
1-1-2
W-D-L
1-3-0
0.8
Scored /game
1.5
2
Conceded /game
1
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
—
BTTS (last 5)
—
—
Over 2.5 (last 5)
—

Combined scoring rate: 2.3 goals per game (China at home plus Palestine away).

History

Head-to-head

1
China
1
Draws
0
Palestine

China have won 1 of the last 2 meetings.

  • 2023-06-20China2-0Palestine
  • 2018-11-20China1-1Palestine
BetGenius

Our record in Friendlies

62%53 won from 86 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
68%
Confidence

Both historical meetings between China and Palestine finished with two or fewer goals, producing a 1-1 draw and a 2-0 China victory. China have averaged exactly 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 goal conceded per home match across their recent sample, failing to score in two of their three home fixtures. Palestine have kept clean sheets in two of their three away matches, conceding only 0.7 goals per game on the road. These combined trends point toward a low-scoring contest staying below the 2.5-goal threshold.

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Published September 30, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.