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Tue 25 Aug · 19:00

Cardiff vs Norwich prediction

Round
Round of 64
Venue
Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff
Referee
J. Bell
Form

Recent form

Cardiff
56Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · +4 goal difference

Norwich
9Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-0D-5L · -9 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Cardiff or Draw

BetGenius backs Cardiff or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Cardiff host Norwich in the Round of 64 of the EFL Cup, with both sides looking to progress in knockout competition. The hosts enter this fixture in steady form, remaining unbeaten across their last five fixtures across all competitions with three victories and two draws, including a 3-2 home win over Swindon Town in their previous cup encounter.

Norwich, by contrast, have experienced a tougher run of recent results. Despite an emphatic 4-1 victory over Milton Keynes Dons earlier in the cup, the Canaries have suffered consecutive defeats leading into this match, falling 1-2 to West Brom and 3-0 away to Millwall.

Head-to-head encounters between these two clubs have historically produced plenty of goalmouth action, averaging 3.3 goals per game across their past 10 meetings, with 60% featuring over 2.5 goals. Given Cardiff's resilient home momentum and Norwich's recent struggles on the road, the hosts hold the upper hand.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Cardiff are unbeaten in their last five matches across all competitions (3 wins, 2 draws).
  2. Norwich have lost their last two consecutive matches, conceding five goals while scoring only one.
  3. Both teams won their previous EFL Cup ties with high-scoring performances: Cardiff won 3-2 against Swindon Town and Norwich won 4-1 against Milton Keynes Dons.
  4. The last 10 head-to-head fixtures between the sides have averaged 3.3 goals per match, with 60% seeing over 2.5 goals.
  5. Both teams face multiple injury absences, with Cardiff missing C. Chambers, W. Fish, D. Lawlor, and G. Osho, while Norwich are without A. Ahmed, A. Crnac, L. Gibbs, L. Mahovo, and J. Makama.
Availability

Team news

Cardiff

  • C. ChambersKnee Injury
  • R. ColwillAnkle Injury
  • D. LawlorHamstring Injury
  • G. OshoRed Card
  • Y. SalechInactive

Norwich

  • A. AhmedKnee Injury
  • P. A. DialloInjury
  • K. McLeanInjury
  • M. ToureShoulder Injury
  • V. KovacevicConcussion
  • A. CrnacRest
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Cardiff at homeNorwich away
5
Played
5
2-3-0
W-D-L
1-0-4
2.4
Scored /game
1.4
1.2
Conceded /game
2.2
0%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
Failed to score
40%
80%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 3.8 goals per game (Cardiff at home plus Norwich away).

Players

Key players this season

Cardiff

  • Y. SalechInactive3G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

History

Head-to-head

3
Cardiff
0
Draws
7
Norwich

Norwich have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.3 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

  • 2025-05-03Norwich4-2Cardiff
  • 2024-11-02Cardiff2-1Norwich
  • 2024-02-17Norwich4-1Cardiff
  • 2023-11-11Cardiff2-3Norwich
  • 2023-02-25Norwich2-0Cardiff
BetGenius

Our record in EFL Cup

73%41 won from 56 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Double Chance
Cardiff or Draw
74%
Confidence

Cardiff have avoided defeat in each of their last five matches, scoring in all of them. In contrast, Norwich enter off back-to-back losses, conceding five goals across those two matches. Given the cup knockout context and historical high-scoring tendencies (averaging 3.3 goals per game over the last 10 head-to-head fixtures), Cardiff Double Chance offers a well-hedged, probabilistic position.

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Published August 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.