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Mon 12 Oct · 15:15

Burgos vs Granada CF prediction

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Round
Regular Season - 9
Venue
Municipal El Plantio, Burgos
Referee
S. Lax

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Burgos
49Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +2 goal difference

Granada CF
38Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -4 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Burgos or Draw

BetGenius backs Burgos or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Burgos welcome Granada CF to the Estadio El Plantío in round nine of the Segunda División, with just three points separating the sides in the upper-midfield pack. Burgos currently sit seventh on 14 points, while Granada occupy ninth position with 11 points from their opening eight fixtures.

The hosts have built their strong early position on formidable home form, collecting three wins and a draw from their four home matches with nine goals scored and five conceded. Granada have experienced a more erratic campaign, winning three, drawing two, and losing three, with both their scoring and defensive records standing at 13 goals across eight games.

Recent head-to-head encounters suggest a tightly contested affair. Burgos took a 1-0 away victory in the most recent meeting between these two clubs in May 2026, while the previous two clashes before that ended in level scores of 1-1 and 0-0.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Burgos remain unbeaten at home this season with three wins and one draw from four matches.
  2. Burgos have scored in 100 percent of their home matches, averaging 2.3 goals per game at El Plantío.
  3. Granada have conceded 1.8 goals per game across their five away fixtures so far.
  4. The last three head-to-head fixtures between these teams have seen Burgos avoid defeat, recording one win and two draws.
  5. Under 2.5 total goals has landed in each of the previous three meetings between Burgos and Granada.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Burgos at homeGranada CF away
5
Played
5
3-1-1
W-D-L
2-1-2
1.8
Scored /game
1.6
1.2
Conceded /game
1.8
20%
Clean sheets
20%
20%
Failed to score
40%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 3.4 goals per game (Burgos at home plus Granada CF away).

Players

Key players this season

Granada CF

  • Sergio Rodelas3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1AlmeriaPromotion - LaLiga10+1324
2CastellónPromotion - LaLiga10+1423
3EibarPromotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)10+922
4Granada CFPromotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)11+420
5Sporting GijonPromotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)10+219
6GironaPromotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)10+818
7Mallorca10+718
8Burgos10+317
9Oviedo10+317
10Sabadell10+216
11Eldense10014
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
1
Burgos
3
Draws
3
Granada CF

Granada CF have won 3 of the last 7 meetings, averaging 1.9 goals a game, only 29% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-10-12Burgos0-1Granada CF
  • 2026-05-16Granada CF0-1Burgos
  • 2025-09-22Burgos1-1Granada CF
  • 2025-01-10Granada CF0-0Burgos
  • 2024-09-29Burgos2-2Granada CF
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Double Chance
Burgos or Draw
74%
Confidence

Burgos have been dependable on home turf, remaining undefeated across four home league matches with three victories and a draw while scoring in every single home game. Granada have conceded nine goals in five away trips and have suffered three defeats in their last five league fixtures. In addition, the head-to-head history has seen Burgos avoid defeat in each of the last three encounters with Granada, including two draws and a 1-0 away win. Backing Burgos to either win or draw covers the most probable match states while acknowledging Granada's capability to take points on their travels.

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Published October 11, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.