BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 7
Venue
Municipal El Plantio, Burgos
Referee
A. Dominguez
Form

Recent form

Burgos
49Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +2 goal difference

Eldense
42Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · -1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Burgos or Draw

BetGenius backs Burgos or Draw (Double Chance) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Burgos enter round seven of the Segunda Division campaign in positive form, sitting seventh in the standings with eleven points from six matches. The hosts have maintained an unbeaten home record so far, securing two wins and a draw at home while producing an average of 2.7 goals per game on their own ground.

Eldense, in contrast, occupy eighteenth position with five points from their opening six fixtures. Their primary challenge has been in front of goal, having found the net just four times in total and averaging only 0.3 goals per game in away fixtures. Although Eldense managed a 1-0 away victory at Sporting Gijon earlier this month, they have suffered three defeats across all matches this season.

Historical head-to-head encounters between these two clubs have generally been tight, low-scoring affairs, averaging 1.4 goals per game over five meetings. With Burgos displaying solid form on home turf and Eldense struggling for attacking output, the hosts hold the upper hand coming into this fixture.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Burgos are unbeaten at home this season with two wins and one draw from three matches.
  2. Eldense have scored only four goals in six league games, averaging 0.3 goals per game away from home.
  3. Burgos are coming off consecutive victories against AD Ceuta FC and Las Palmas.
  4. Four of the five previous head-to-head meetings between these clubs produced under 2.5 goals.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Burgos at homeEldense away
5
Played
3
3-1-1
W-D-L
1-0-2
1.8
Scored /game
0.3
1.2
Conceded /game
1.3
20%
Clean sheets
—
20%
Failed to score
—
60%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 2.1 goals per game (Burgos at home plus Eldense away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
5Sporting GijonPromotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)10+219
6GironaPromotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)10+818
7Mallorca10+718
8Burgos10+317
9Oviedo10+317
10Sabadell10+216
11Eldense10014
12Tenerife10-213
13Valladolid11012
14Celta de Vigo II10-112
History

Head-to-head

1
Burgos
1
Draws
3
Eldense

Eldense have won 3 of the last 5 meetings, averaging 1.4 goals a game, only 20% went over 2.5.

  • 2025-03-29Eldense0-0Burgos
  • 2024-12-08Burgos1-0Eldense
  • 2024-05-10Burgos1-2Eldense
  • 2023-11-05Eldense2-0Burgos
  • 2022-12-22Eldense1-0Burgos
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Burgos or Draw
76%
Confidence

Burgos remain undefeated in their three home league fixtures this season, collecting seven points from a possible nine with eight goals scored. Eldense have lost two of their three away trips and have scored only one goal on the road. Head-to-head history also points to tight margins, with four of the last five meetings staying under 2.5 goals, making home double chance a well-supported selection.

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Published September 27, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.