Bournemouth demonstrated strong European credentials by beating Real Sociedad 2-1 away on matchday one. Despite recent defensive lapses against Chelsea, returning home provides a solid platform to manage the tempo. Sturm Graz have demonstrated tactical discipline, holding Rennes scoreless and keeping a clean sheet in their 2-0 victory at Austria Vienna. With several creative and attacking players absent on both sides, backing Bournemouth on the double chance effectively covers both a home win and a low-scoring draw.
Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz prediction
- Round
- League Stage - 2
- Venue
- Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth
- Referee
- Jerome Brisard
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Recent form
Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +3 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +7 goal difference
Our verdict
BetGenius backs Bournemouth or Draw (Double Chance) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
Bournemouth welcome Sturm Graz for the second round of the Europa League stage. The hosts kicked off their European run with a positive 2-1 victory away against Real Sociedad, though they will be eager to recover their composure following recent domestic setbacks against Liverpool and Chelsea.
Sturm Graz opened their continental campaign with a disciplined 0-0 draw against Rennes. The Austrian side utilized a compact 5-3-2 defensive setup in that encounter and arrive on the back of consecutive domestic victories, having defeated Floridsdorfer AC 3-1 and Austria Vienna 2-0.
Both squads are managing extensive casualty lists with numerous players ruled out through injury. While Bournemouth possess home advantage and demonstrated scoring ability in Spain, Sturm Graz have shown they can organize effectively away from home to limit clear chances.
Key factors
- Bournemouth secured an impressive 2-1 away victory against Real Sociedad in their opening cup fixture.
- Sturm Graz earned a 0-0 draw against Rennes in round one while utilizing a structured 5-3-2 formation.
- Both teams face significant squad management issues, with Bournemouth missing players such as Justin Kluivert and Sturm Graz missing Otar Kiteishvili.
- Sturm Graz enter with momentum after successive wins against Floridsdorfer AC and Austria Vienna.
- Bournemouth have scored in four of their last five competitive matches across all competitions.
Team news
Bournemouth
- J. AraujoThigh Injury
- A. ScottThigh Injury
- A. TothMuscle Injury
- E. J. KroupiFoot Injury
- V. MilosavljevicLacking Match Fitness
Sturm Graz
- N. GeyrhoferOff the roster
- L. GrgicKnee Injury
- S. JattaShoulder Injury
- O. KiteishviliCalf Injury
- G. MamageishviliInjury
- F. RozgaMuscle Injury
- E. SogloMuscle Injury
- N. WeiperInjury
- S. WlodarczykOff the roster
- D. KhudyakovInactive
Statistical comparison
Combined scoring rate: 2.5 goals per game (Bournemouth at home plus Sturm Graz away).
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BenficaPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | +8 | 9 |
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | +8 | 9 |
| 3 | BournemouthPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | +7 | 9 |
| 4 | Ferencvarosi TCPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 | Olympiakos PiraeusPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 6 | Union St. GilloisePromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | +7 | 7 |
| 16 | Sparta PrahaPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 3 | +2 | 4 |
| 17 | Levski SofiaPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 18 | Dinamo ZagrebPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 19 | Sturm GrazPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 20 | NEC NijmegenPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 21 | Red Bull SalzburgPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 22 | AnderlechtPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 3 | +1 | 3 |
Head-to-head
- 1
- Bournemouth
- 0
- Draws
- 0
- Sturm Graz
Bournemouth have won 1 of the last 1 meeting.
- 2026-10-15Bournemouth3-0Sturm Graz
Our record in UEFA Europa League
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.1 published market
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Published October 15, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.

