BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 31
Venue
Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
Referee
Raphael Claus
Form

Recent form

Botafogo
51Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -1 goal difference

Chapecoense-sc
17Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-2D-3L · -8 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Botafogo or Draw

BetGenius backs Botafogo or Draw (Double Chance) at 77% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

77%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Botafogo welcome bottom-placed Chapecoense-sc to the Estadio Nilton Santos looking to secure valuable points in Serie A round 31. The hosts sit 13th in the standings on 36 points, having collected five wins and six draws from their 15 home fixtures while scoring 25 goals. Their recent league run has been mixed, with one victory, two draws, and two defeats in their last five matches, including a 1-1 draw away at Coritiba most recently.

Chapecoense-sc face an uphill battle to avoid the drop, currently occupying 20th place with 18 points from 29 matches. Their away record is particularly poor, yielding just one victory from 15 outings alongside four draws and ten defeats, with only 11 goals scored and 28 conceded on the road. The visitors enter this contest on the back of consecutive heavy defeats, conceding four goals against both Vitoria and Atletico Paranaense.

Historical encounters between the two clubs lean heavily toward the hosts, with Botafogo winning seven of the last ten meetings across all competitions. That includes a 4-1 victory for Botafogo in their previous Serie A encounter in April 2026. With Chapecoense managing only three wins across their entire 29-game league campaign and dealing with multiple defensive absences, the hosts possess the clearer path to a positive result.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Chapecoense-sc have recorded just one victory and ten defeats in 15 away matches this league season.
  2. Botafogo have avoided defeat in 11 of their 15 home league games, registering five wins and six draws.
  3. Botafogo have won seven of the previous ten head-to-head encounters against Chapecoense-sc, losing only twice.
  4. Chapecoense-sc have conceded 61 goals in 29 Serie A games, averaging 1.9 goals conceded per away fixture.
  5. Chapecoense-sc travel without six players due to injury and suspension, including Marcinho and Heitor.
Availability

Team news

Botafogo

  • J. BarreraAnkle Injury
  • Kaio PantaleaoKnee Injury
  • Arthur ChavesInactive
  • L. MonzonInactive

Chapecoense-sc

  • HeitorHamstring Injury
  • Rafael CarvalheiraKnee Injury
  • Robert ConceicaoKnee Injury
  • Vinicius BalieiroKnee Injury
  • KauanYellow Cards
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Botafogo at homeChapecoense-sc away
16
Played
16
6-6-4
W-D-L
1-4-11
1.6
Scored /game
0.7
1.4
Conceded /game
1.8
25%
Clean sheets
0%
19%
Failed to score
44%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 2.3 goals per game (Botafogo at home plus Chapecoense-sc away).

Players

Key players this season

Botafogo

  • Danilo Santos10G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
8SantosPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+245
9Sao PauloPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+142
10RB BragantinoPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+341
11BotafogoPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31-439
12Coritiba31-1139
13Vitoria31-1137
14Mirassol31-836
17InternacionalRelegation - Serie B31-732
18GremioRelegation - Serie B31-1031
19RemoRelegation - Serie B31-1526
20Chapecoense-scRelegation - Serie B30-3218
History

Head-to-head

8
Botafogo
1
Draws
1
Chapecoense-sc

Botafogo have won 8 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 1.7 goals a game, only 20% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-10-17Botafogo1-0Chapecoense-sc
  • 2026-05-14Chapecoense-sc2-0Botafogo
  • 2026-04-21Botafogo1-0Chapecoense-sc
  • 2026-04-18Chapecoense-sc1-4Botafogo
  • 2019-11-27Chapecoense-SC0-1Botafogo
BetGenius

Our record in Serie A

62%95 won from 153 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Botafogo or Draw
77%
Confidence

Botafogo have proven resilient on their own ground, suffering only four defeats in 15 home league matches while claiming five wins and six draws. In contrast, Chapecoense-sc have won just once in 15 away fixtures, losing ten times and netting only 11 goals on their travels. While Chapecoense have struggled at the foot of the table with 61 goals conceded overall, Botafogo have drawn six times at home, suggesting the hosts to win or draw is the most robust angle. Head-to-head records also heavily favour Botafogo, who have won seven of the last ten meetings with just one loss in that span.

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Published October 16, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.