BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 24
Venue
Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
Referee
Andre Luis Skettino Policarpo Bento, Brazil
Form

Recent form

Botafogo
51Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -1 goal difference

Atletico Paranaense
56Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Atletico Paranaense or Draw

BetGenius backs Atletico Paranaense or Draw (Double Chance) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

68%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Botafogo host Atletico Paranaense in round 23 action of Serie A at the Nilton Santos. The home side sits 11th in the table with 30 points from 22 matches and is seeking consistency after winning only one of their previous four recorded fixtures. Their attacking options are hindered by the suspension of joint-top scorer Arthur Cabral following a red card, leaving Danilo Santos to shoulder the scoring burden.

Atletico Paranaense enter the encounter in 3rd place with 41 points and are firmly in the Copa Libertadores group stage qualification zone. Boasting a stout defensive record with only 20 goals conceded across 23 league fixtures and 8 clean sheets, the visitors also feature striker K. Viveros, who has already netted 14 goals this season.

Recent historical meetings between the two clubs show tightly contested, low-scoring encounters, with 70% of the last 10 head-to-head matches staying under 2.5 goals. With Botafogo missing key personnel in attack and Atletico Paranaense demonstrating defensive stability across the campaign, the visitors are well positioned to take at least a point.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Atletico Paranaense hold 3rd place with 41 points and have kept 8 clean sheets in 23 league matches.
  2. Botafogo top scorer Arthur Cabral (7 goals) is suspended following a red card.
  3. Atletico Paranaense forward K. Viveros is in prime form with 14 league goals scored.
  4. 7 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings between Botafogo and Atletico Paranaense finished under 2.5 goals.
Availability

Team news

Botafogo

  • J. BarreraAnkle Injury
  • Kaio PantaleaoKnee Injury
  • Arthur ChavesInactive
  • L. MonzonInactive

Atletico Paranaense

  • G. BenavidezMuscle Injury
  • ClaudinhoInjury
  • K. A. Calderon VargasInactive
  • DantasInactive
  • C. TeranInactive
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Botafogo at homeAtletico Paranaense away
16
Played
15
6-6-4
W-D-L
6-3-6
1.6
Scored /game
1.5
1.4
Conceded /game
1.5
25%
Clean sheets
20%
19%
Failed to score
27%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 3.1 goals per game (Botafogo at home plus Atletico Paranaense away).

Players

Key players this season

Botafogo

  • Danilo Santos10G

Atletico Paranaense

  • K. Viveros21G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1FlamengoPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+3667
2PalmeirasPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+3266
3Atletico ParanaensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+1253
4CruzeiroPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+451
5FluminensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)31+1051
6Atletico-MGPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+750
8SantosPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+245
9Sao PauloPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+142
10RB BragantinoPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+341
11BotafogoPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31-439
12Coritiba31-1139
13Vitoria31-1137
14Mirassol31-836
History

Head-to-head

3
Botafogo
2
Draws
5
Atletico Paranaense

Atletico Paranaense have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.4 goals a game, only 30% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-03-29Atletico Paranaense4-1Botafogo
  • 2024-10-05Atletico Paranaense0-1Botafogo
  • 2024-06-19Botafogo1-1Atletico Paranaense
  • 2023-10-22Botafogo1-1Atletico Paranaense
  • 2023-06-03Atletico Paranaense1-0Botafogo
BetGenius

Our record in Serie A

62%95 won from 153 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Atletico Paranaense or Draw
68%
Confidence

Atletico Paranaense sit 3rd in the standings with 41 points and concede an average of just 0.9 goals per game. Botafogo will be without joint-top scorer Arthur Cabral due to suspension, and 70% of the last 10 head-to-head meetings between these sides have produced under 2.5 goals.

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Published August 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.