BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 30
Venue
Stadions Celtnieks, Daugavpils
Referee
I. Purins
Form

Recent form

BFC Daugavpils
32Poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-3D-2L · -2 goal difference

Rīgas FS
89Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-1D-0L · +9 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
Rīgas FS to win + Rīgas FS Over 1.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Rīgas FS to win + Rīgas FS Over 1.5 Goals (Combo Bet) at 75% confidence — a strong call.

75%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Virsliga leaders Rīgas FS travel to face fifth-placed BFC Daugavpils in round 30 of the regular season. Rīgas FS have dominated the campaign, collecting 70 points from 28 matches with 22 victories and a plus-48 goal difference. Their away form has been nearly flawless, winning 13 of their 14 road matches while conceding just eight goals.

BFC Daugavpils occupy fifth spot with 38 points from 29 games. While their home record of eight wins and 11 goals conceded in 15 matches shows defensive resilience on their own ground, they enter this clash on a run of three consecutive draws and face the league's most formidable opponent.

Historical meetings heavily favour the visitors. Rīgas FS have won all 10 of the previous 10 head-to-head encounters between the two clubs across all competitions, including three victories already in 2026 by scorelines of 1-0, 4-1, and 3-1.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

BFC Daugavpils at homeRīgas FS away
16
Played
16
8-2-6
W-D-L
14-1-1
1.1
Scored /game
1.8
0.8
Conceded /game
0.6
38%
Clean sheets
56%
38%
Failed to score
0%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 2.9 goals per game (BFC Daugavpils at home plus Rīgas FS away).

Players

Key players this season

BFC Daugavpils

  • A. Traore2G
  • D. Kiwinda1G · 2A

Rīgas FS

  • J. Ikaunieks1A
  • M. Saidy1A
  • D. Zelenkovs1A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1Rīgas FS33+5783
2Riga33+5979
3Auda33+1964
4FK Liepaja33046
5BFC Daugavpils33+245
6Super Nova33-1538
7FS Jelgava33-2232
8Grobiņa33-3129
History

Head-to-head

0
BFC Daugavpils
0
Draws
10
Rīgas FS

Rīgas FS have won 10 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 4.2 goals a game, both teams scored in 70% of them.

  • 2026-06-30Rīgas FS3-1BFC Daugavpils
  • 2026-05-13BFC Daugavpils0-1Rīgas FS
  • 2026-03-21Rīgas FS4-1BFC Daugavpils
  • 2026-02-28Rīgas FS1-0BFC Daugavpils
  • 2025-09-21Rīgas FS5-1BFC Daugavpils
BetGenius

Our record in Virsliga

55%22 won from 40 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

FeaturedWON
Combo Bet
Rīgas FS to win + Rīgas FS Over 1.5 Goals
75%
Both must land · no better than

Rīgas FS to win — 80% confidence

Rīgas FS hold an overwhelming advantage across all key indicators. They lead the Virsliga table by 32 points over BFC Daugavpils and have won 13 of their 14 away matches this season. Crucially, the head-to-head record shows complete dominance with Rīgas FS winning all 10 of their last 10 meetings against Daugavpils, making an away victory the most probable outcome.

Rīgas FS Over 1.5 Goals — 75% confidence

Rīgas FS have generated 68 goals in 28 league matches, averaging 2.4 goals per game overall and 1.9 goals per match on the road. In direct clashes against BFC Daugavpils, Rīgas FS have scored two or more goals in eight of their last 10 meetings, including three separate matches in the current campaign where they scored at least three.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (match winner and team total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetWON
Team Total Goals
Rīgas FS Over 1.5 Goals
75%
Confidence

Rīgas FS have generated 68 goals in 28 league matches, averaging 2.4 goals per game overall and 1.9 goals per match on the road. In direct clashes against BFC Daugavpils, Rīgas FS have scored two or more goals in eight of their last 10 meetings, including three separate matches in the current campaign where they scored at least three.

Combo BetWON
Match Winner
Rīgas FS to win
80%
Confidence

Rīgas FS hold an overwhelming advantage across all key indicators. They lead the Virsliga table by 32 points over BFC Daugavpils and have won 13 of their 14 away matches this season. Crucially, the head-to-head record shows complete dominance with Rīgas FS winning all 10 of their last 10 meetings against Daugavpils, making an away victory the most probable outcome.

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Published September 11, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.