Benfica or Draw — 78% confidence
Benfica’s unbeaten home run, high goal average and Celtic’s weak defensive record create a strong probability that the home side will avoid defeat. Even if Celtic manage to hold on for a draw, the likelihood of a home win remains high, justifying a hedge on home or draw.
Over 2.5 Goals — 70% confidence
Benfica average 4.7 goals at home while conceding under one per game. Celtic have allowed three goals on average at home. Combining these trends points to a match with at least three goals, making the over‑2.5 market attractive.
These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

