Bahia have lost only two of their 12 home league matches this season and are undefeated in their last five Serie A fixtures. Internacional have won just twice in 11 away games and enter this fixture without multiple regular starters due to suspension and injury, including Mercado, Gomes, Paula, and Rochet. Additionally, the head-to-head record at Bahia's home ground shows Bahia unbeaten across their last four meetings (two wins, two draws).
Bahia vs Internacional prediction
- Round
- Regular Season - 25
- Venue
- Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador
- Referee
- Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva, Brazil
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Recent form
Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -3 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -1 goal difference
Our verdict
BetGenius backs Bahia or Draw (Double Chance) at 80% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
Bahia welcome Internacional to the Arena Fonte Nova for round 25 of the Brasileiro Serie A, looking to solidify their position in the upper half of the table. Sitting in 6th place with 37 points, Bahia enter this contest on a steady five-match unbeaten run in league play, bolstered by a 2-0 away victory over Vitoria in their most recent outing. Their defensive organization at home has been a hallmark this season, conceding an average of just 0.9 goals per match across 12 home fixtures.
Internacional, by contrast, find themselves battling near the bottom of the standings in 16th place with 25 points. The visitors have struggled to convert matches into victories, drawing four of their last five league games and scoring just two goals during that span. Their away form has yielded only two wins from 11 matches, while scoring at an average of 0.9 goals per game on the road.
Squad availability further tilts the balance, with Internacional missing key figures through suspension, including Gabriel Mercado, Bruno Gomes, and Paulinho Paula, alongside goalkeeper Sergio Rochet to injury. With Bahia holding an unbeaten home record in recent head-to-head encounters against Internacional (two wins and two draws in four meetings), the hosts possess the structural and form edge.
Key factors
- Bahia boast strong home defensive metrics, conceding an average of only 0.9 goals per game across 12 home matches.
- Internacional are winless in their last five matches, scoring just twice across that run while drawing four consecutive games.
- Internacional face significant selection absences, with Bruno Gomes, Gabriel Mercado, and Paulinho Paula suspended, plus Sergio Rochet injured.
- Bahia are undefeated in their last four home head-to-head fixtures against Internacional (two wins and two draws).
Team news
Bahia
- Leo VieiraKnee Injury
- R. GomezYellow Cards
- Jean LucasYellow Cards
Internacional
- AnthoniKnee Injury
- KaykyAnkle Injury
- G. MaripanMuscle Injury
- S. RochetLower Back Injury
- Matheus CunhaRed Card
- G. MercadoYellow Cards
- R. VillagraYellow Cards
- VitinhoYellow Cards
- AllexInactive
- A. SanabriaInactive
Statistical comparison
Combined scoring rate: 2.3 goals per game (Bahia at home plus Internacional away).
Key players this season
Bahia
- Luciano Juba10G
League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | CruzeiroPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage) | 31 | +4 | 51 |
| 5 | FluminensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification) | 31 | +10 | 51 |
| 6 | Atletico-MGPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) | 31 | +7 | 50 |
| 7 | BahiaPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) | 31 | +5 | 49 |
| 8 | SantosPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) | 31 | +2 | 45 |
| 9 | Sao PauloPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) | 31 | +1 | 42 |
| 10 | RB BragantinoPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) | 31 | +3 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 31 | -8 | 36 |
| 15 | Vasco DA Gama | 30 | -7 | 35 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 31 | -7 | 33 |
| 17 | InternacionalRelegation - Serie B | 31 | -7 | 32 |
| 18 | GremioRelegation - Serie B | 31 | -10 | 31 |
| 19 | RemoRelegation - Serie B | 31 | -15 | 26 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-scRelegation - Serie B | 30 | -32 | 18 |
Head-to-head
- 4
- Bahia
- 3
- Draws
- 3
- Internacional
Bahia have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.4 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.
- 2026-08-30Bahia3-2Internacional
- 2026-03-15Internacional0-1Bahia
- 2025-11-08Internacional2-2Bahia
- 2025-10-22Bahia1-0Internacional
- 2025-05-28Internacional2-1Bahia
Our record in Serie A
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.1 published market
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Understand these picks
- Double chance: Double chance predictions · How double chance works · Double chance record
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Published August 29, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.

