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Auda vs Grobiņa prediction

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Round: Regular Season - 29
Venue: Skonto stadions, Riga
Referee: K. Rozitis

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Auda

55Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +1 goal difference

Grobiņa

36Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Match Winner

Auda to win

BetGenius backs Auda to win (Match Winner) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

76%

Confidence

Strong

Preview

Match preview

Third-placed Auda host eighth-placed Grobiņa in round 29 of the Virsliga, looking to reinforce their position near the top of the table. Auda sit on 53 points from 27 matches, holding a comfortable 29-point cushion over their opponents. While Auda have drawn their last two league matches against Super Nova and BFC Daugavpils, their overall campaign remains solid with 16 victories and 44 goals scored.

Grobiņa arrive having managed only five wins across their 28 league matches this season. Their form on the road has been particularly problematic, yielding eight defeats from 14 outings alongside a return of just eight goals scored and 31 conceded. Although they secured a narrow 1-0 home win over BFC Daugavpils in their latest match, Grobiņa have struggled heavily against the league's leading sides.

Historical meetings between the two sides heavily favor the hosts. Auda have won eight of their last ten encounters with Grobiņa across all competitions, including all six games played on home soil. With a significant gap in defensive stability and scoring output between the teams, Auda hold a clear statistical edge heading into this fixture.

Analysis

Key factors

Auda have won all six home matches against Grobiņa in their last ten head-to-head encounters across all competitions.
Grobiņa have lost eight of their 14 away league matches this season, conceding 31 goals while scoring only eight.
Auda sit 29 points ahead of Grobiņa in the Virsliga standings with a plus-17 goal difference compared to Grobiņa's minus-30.
Grobiņa have failed to win in any of their ten historical meetings with Auda, recording eight defeats and two draws.
Auda average 1.9 goals scored per home match, while Grobiņa concede an average of 2.2 goals per away game.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Auda at homeGrobiņa away

Played

10-3-4

W-D-L

2-4-9

1.7

Scored /game

0.5

0.9

Conceded /game

2.1

41%

Clean sheets

13%

12%

Failed to score

47%

80%

BTTS (last 5)

40%

60%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

40%

Combined scoring rate: 2.2 goals per game (Auda at home plus Grobiņa away).

Players

Key players this season

Auda

A. Appiah2G
J. Gerold1G · 1A

Grobiņa

M. Corryn3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Rīgas FS	33	+57	83
2	Riga	33	+59	79
3	Auda	33	+19	64
4	FK Liepaja	33	0	46
5	BFC Daugavpils	33	+2	45
6	Super Nova	33	-15	38
7	FS Jelgava	33	-22	32
8	Grobiņa	33	-31	29
9	Tukums	33	-21	24
10	Ogre United	33	-48	18

History

Head-to-head

Full record →

8
Auda: 2
Draws: 0
Grobiņa

Auda have won 8 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.6 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.

2026-09-06Auda1-0Grobiņa
2026-08-17Auda3-2Grobiņa
2026-06-25Grobiņa0-0Auda
2026-05-07Auda7-0Grobiņa
2026-03-14Grobiņa0-2Auda

BetGenius

Our record in Virsliga

55%22 won from 40 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON

Match Winner

Auda to win

76%

Confidence

Auda present a decisive, multi-signal advantage across league position, historical matchups, and home versus away splits. Across ten head-to-head fixtures, Auda have won eight times and never lost to Grobiņa, maintaining a perfect record of six wins from six matches at home in that span. Grobiņa have struggled considerably on the road, losing eight of 14 away fixtures while conceding 31 goals, an average of 2.2 per game. With Auda averaging 1.9 goals per match at home and holding a 29-point advantage in the table, the home victory represents the most probable outcome.

Explore

Auda vs Grobiņa prediction

Recent form

Our verdict

Match preview

Key factors

Statistical comparison

Key players this season

Auda

Grobiņa

Table context

Head-to-head

Our record in Virsliga

1 published market

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