BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 28
Venue
Arena da Baixada, Curitiba
Referee
Anderson Daronco, Brazil
Form

Recent form

Atletico Paranaense
56Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +2 goal difference

Bahia
36Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
Bahia or Draw + BTTS Yes

BetGenius backs Bahia or Draw + BTTS Yes (Combo Bet) at 65% confidence — a solid call.

65%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Atletico Paranaense and Bahia meet in round 28 of Serie A locked level on 46 points, occupying third and fourth place respectively in the Copa Libertadores qualification zone. The hosts have proven difficult to beat at home with eight wins and only one defeat in 13 matches, but their recent form shows just one victory from their last five league fixtures alongside a porous defensive run that has conceded 12 goals in that span.

Bahia travel in strong form, riding a three-match winning streak with victories over RB Bragantino, Internacional, and Vitoria. They also hold the edge in the reverse fixture having won 3-0 against Atletico Paranaense in April 2026, while boasting one of the league's best away records with six wins and four draws from 13 road outings.

The home side faces a major challenge in attack with top goalscorer K. Viveros, who has 18 goals, and key creator Joao Cruz both ruled out through suspension. Bahia's momentum and the hosts' notable absences create an evenly balanced contest with plenty of attacking output on both sides.

Availability

Team news

Atletico Paranaense

  • G. BenavidezMuscle Injury
  • ClaudinhoInjury
  • K. A. Calderon VargasInactive
  • DantasInactive
  • C. TeranInactive

Bahia

  • Leo VieiraKnee Injury
  • R. GomezYellow Cards
  • Jean LucasYellow Cards
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Atletico Paranaense at homeBahia away
16
Played
15
9-5-2
W-D-L
6-4-5
1.7
Scored /game
1.4
0.9
Conceded /game
1.5
31%
Clean sheets
27%
19%
Failed to score
20%
80%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 3.1 goals per game (Atletico Paranaense at home plus Bahia away).

Players

Key players this season

Atletico Paranaense

  • K. Viveros21G

Bahia

  • Luciano Juba10G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1FlamengoPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+3667
2PalmeirasPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+3266
3Atletico ParanaensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+1253
4CruzeiroPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+451
5FluminensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)31+1051
6Atletico-MGPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+750
7BahiaPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+549
8SantosPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+245
9Sao PauloPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+142
10RB BragantinoPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+341
History

Head-to-head

3
Atletico Paranaense
2
Draws
5
Bahia

Bahia have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.5 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

  • 2026-04-01Bahia3-0Atletico Paranaense
  • 2024-11-24Bahia1-1Atletico Paranaense
  • 2024-07-10Atletico Paranaense1-3Bahia
  • 2023-11-12Bahia1-1Atletico Paranaense
  • 2023-07-16Atletico Paranaense2-0Bahia
BetGenius

Our record in Serie A

62%95 won from 153 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

FeaturedLOST
Combo Bet
Bahia or Draw + BTTS Yes
65%
Both must land · no better than

Bahia or Draw — 68% confidence

Bahia enter this fixture on an upward trajectory with three consecutive victories and only three away defeats across 13 road games this season. Atletico Paranaense have won only once in their last five outings and must cope without their primary attacking outlet K. Viveros, who leads the squad with 18 goals, alongside playmaker Joao Cruz. Bahia also claimed a convincing 3-0 win in the previous head-to-head meeting this campaign, providing solid backing for them to avoid defeat.

Yes — 65% confidence

Both teams have featured in high-scoring contests throughout recent weeks. Atletico Paranaense have seen both teams score in each of their last five matches, with scorelines of 3-3, 1-3, 3-3, 3-2, and 1-1. Bahia have scored in four of their last five matches and average 1.5 goals per away game, while both teams have registered a total of over 40 goals each across 27 league fixtures.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and both teams to score), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetWON
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
Confidence

Both teams have featured in high-scoring contests throughout recent weeks. Atletico Paranaense have seen both teams score in each of their last five matches, with scorelines of 3-3, 1-3, 3-3, 3-2, and 1-1. Bahia have scored in four of their last five matches and average 1.5 goals per away game, while both teams have registered a total of over 40 goals each across 27 league fixtures.

Combo BetLOST
Double Chance
Bahia or Draw
68%
Confidence

Bahia enter this fixture on an upward trajectory with three consecutive victories and only three away defeats across 13 road games this season. Atletico Paranaense have won only once in their last five outings and must cope without their primary attacking outlet K. Viveros, who leads the squad with 18 goals, alongside playmaker Joao Cruz. Bahia also claimed a convincing 3-0 win in the previous head-to-head meeting this campaign, providing solid backing for them to avoid defeat.

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Published September 19, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.