BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 18
Venue
Strawberry Arena, Solna
Referee
Glenn Nyberg, Sweden
Form

Recent form

AIK Stockholm
26Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-2D-3L · -5 goal difference

Mjallby AIF
44Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · 0 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
AIK Stockholm or Draw

BetGenius backs AIK Stockholm or Draw (Double Chance) at 70% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

70%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

AIK Stockholm come into the match on a strong run, having won four of their last five games and scoring in each of those fixtures. Their recent form at home has been solid, with a 3‑2 victory over Hammarby and a 4‑3 win against Örgryte, although they have been conceding close to two goals per game. Mjällby AIF sit in the lower half of the table, ten points behind and have struggled to find the net, failing to score in four of their last five outings. Their away record shows they average 1.6 goals for but concede two per game, and recent defeats have been heavy.

Head‑to‑head history heavily favours AIK, who have won six of the last ten meetings and are unbeaten in their last three encounters with Mjällby at home. Despite a sizable injury list for AIK, the balance of quality and home advantage still tilts the fixture towards the visitors. The goal‑average for both sides suggests a relatively open game, but the overall trend in the league points to slightly fewer than 2.5 goals on average.

Overall, AIK look the clear favorite, but the injury concerns and Mjällby’s defensive resilience mean a draw cannot be ruled out, making a double‑chance on the home side the most balanced option.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. AIK won 4 of their last 5, including a 3‑2 home win over Hammarby
  2. AIK hold a 6‑2‑2 advantage in the last 10 head‑to‑heads and are unbeaten in the last 3 home meetings
  3. Mjällby have failed to score in 4 of their last 5 games and sit 10 points behind AIK
  4. AIK list eight injury absences, which could blunt their attacking edge
  5. Both teams’ recent goal averages suggest a total around 2.8, with league data indicating under 2.5 is slightly more likely
Availability

Team news

AIK Stockholm

  • D. BesirovicThigh Injury
  • I. CisseAnkle Injury
  • M. EllingsenLeg Injury
  • K. FillingKnee Injury
  • A. HelmKnee Injury
  • F. NissenInjury
  • S. PapagiannopoulosKnee Injury
  • C. PaveyGroin Injury
  • A. RedkinKnee Injury

Mjallby AIF

  • V. DalsgaardInjury
  • T. StavitskiBack Injury
  • L. TidstrandYellow Cards
  • M. IsakssonInactive
Numbers

Statistical comparison

AIK Stockholm at homeMjallby AIF away
12
Played
12
4-2-6
W-D-L
2-6-4
1.6
Scored /game
1.3
2.3
Conceded /game
1.8
17%
Clean sheets
8%
25%
Failed to score
33%
100%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
0%

Combined scoring rate: 2.9 goals per game (AIK Stockholm at home plus Mjallby AIF away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
6Vasteras SK FK25-238
7Malmo FF25+437
8IFK Goteborg24-936
9AIK Stockholm24-434
10Gais24+530
11IF Brommapojkarna24-730
12Mjallby AIF24-1223
13Kalmar FF24-1522
14Degerfors IFRelegation Playoffs24-1620
15Orgryte ISRelegation24-2518
History

Head-to-head

6
AIK Stockholm
2
Draws
2
Mjallby AIF

AIK Stockholm have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.0 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-07-11Mjallby AIF1-2AIK Stockholm
  • 2025-07-20Mjallby AIF2-0AIK Stockholm
  • 2025-05-11AIK Stockholm2-1Mjallby AIF
  • 2024-08-11AIK Stockholm1-0Mjallby AIF
  • 2024-04-13Mjallby AIF1-1AIK Stockholm
BetGenius

Our record in Allsvenskan

59%51 won from 87 settled predictions (2 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
AIK Stockholm or Draw
70%
Confidence

AIK have the better recent form, a strong head‑to‑head record at home and a ten‑point league advantage. Mjällby’s poor scoring run and away defensive record increase AIK’s odds, but the number of injuries to key AIK players and Mjällby’s occasional resilience justify including the draw in the selection. The league’s average goal tally and both teams’ recent scoring patterns lean towards a total under 2.5, supporting the under‑goal call.

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Published September 15, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.