Lyon’s recent form and superior scoring average make them the stronger side, yet the head‑to‑head record shows a clear pattern of draws with plenty of goals. Hoffenheim’s defensive record is poor, increasing the likelihood of both sides finding the net. Combining these signals suggests Lyon at least drawing, while the goal trend points to over 2.5 goals.
1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon prediction
- Round
- League Stage - 3
- Venue
- Prezero Arena, Sinsheim
- Referee
- Halil Umut Meler
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Recent form
Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · 0 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +2 goal difference
Our verdict
BetGenius backs Lyon or Draw (Double Chance) at 72% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
Lyon arrive on the back of two straight league victories, scoring five goals and conceding only three in their last five games. Hoffenheim, by contrast, have yet to win a match this season, losing both of their opening fixtures and scoring just two goals while conceding five. The two sides have met three times before, each encounter ending in a draw with an average of 4.7 goals per game, indicating a propensity for high‑scoring stalemates. Injuries affect several players on both sides, but neither team is missing any of their obvious first‑team starters.
Key factors
- Lyon unbeaten in recent matches with 2.5 goals per game average
- Hoffenheim winless, conceding 2.5 goals per game
- Three previous meetings all ended in draws with over 2.5 goals
- Both teams have injury concerns but no clear impact on main attackers
- Goal‑scoring patterns favour a high‑scoring encounter
Team news
1899 Hoffenheim
- N. De CatKnee Injury
- A. HajdariFoot Injury
- P. WimmerThigh Injury
- B. ConteInjury
Lyon
- L. OpendaLeg Injury
- M. OuedraogoKnee Injury
- N. TagliaficoMuscle Injury
- P. SulcKnee Injury
- A. HamdaniInactive
Statistical comparison
Combined scoring rate: 3 goals per game (1899 Hoffenheim at home plus Lyon away).
Key players this season
1899 Hoffenheim
- A. Kramarić2A
Lyon
- Keito Nakamura2A
League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | SunderlandPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 3 | +2 | 7 |
| 10 | AZ AlkmaarPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 3 | +4 | 6 |
| 11 | Omonia NicosiaPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 12 | LyonPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | RennesPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 3 | +1 | 5 |
| 14 | Real SociedadPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 3 | +5 | 4 |
| 15 | Crystal PalacePromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 3 | +3 | 4 |
| 20 | NEC NijmegenPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 21 | Red Bull SalzburgPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 22 | AnderlechtPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 3 | +1 | 3 |
| 23 | 1899 HoffenheimPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 24 | AC MilanPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 25 | Celta Vigo | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 26 | OFI | 3 | -1 | 3 |
Head-to-head
- 1
- 1899 Hoffenheim
- 3
- Draws
- 0
- Lyon
1899 Hoffenheim have won 1 of the last 4 meetings, averaging 4.3 goals a game, both teams scored in 75% of them.
- 2026-10-221899 Hoffenheim3-0Lyon
- 2024-11-071899 Hoffenheim2-2Lyon
- 2018-11-07Lyon2-21899 Hoffenheim
- 2018-10-231899 Hoffenheim3-3Lyon
Our record in UEFA Europa League
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.2 published markets
Hoffenheim average 3.5 goals per game and Lyon average 4 goals per game in the competition, both above the 2.5‑goal threshold. Their recent matches regularly exceed three goals, and the three head‑to‑head draws have each produced four goals. Injuries do not remove primary goal‑scorers, so the attacking threat remains strong while both sides also have high concede rates. These factors together make three‑plus goals the most supported line.
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Teams around them in the table
Published October 21, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.

